Utah's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of R+10, remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report and other forecasters, anchoring trader consensus at 85% odds for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Celeste Maloy faces a contested GOP primary on June 23 against challengers Phil Lyman and Tyler Murset, echoing her razor-thin 2024 primary win, but historical margins—such as 66% Republican victory in 2024—signal minimal Democratic threat from candidates like Steve Merrill. Recent candidate filings closed March 13 amid court-imposed redistricting that preserved the district's conservative tilt, with Maloy's fundraising dominance ($359,000 cash on hand) bolstering GOP positioning ahead of April 25 party conventions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook PVI of R+10, remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report and other forecasters, anchoring trader consensus at 85% odds for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Celeste Maloy faces a contested GOP primary on June 23 against challengers Phil Lyman and Tyler Murset, echoing her razor-thin 2024 primary win, but historical margins—such as 66% Republican victory in 2024—signal minimal Democratic threat from candidates like Steve Merrill. Recent candidate filings closed March 13 amid court-imposed redistricting that preserved the district's conservative tilt, with Maloy's fundraising dominance ($359,000 cash on hand) bolstering GOP positioning ahead of April 25 party conventions.
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