Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee following mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and produced an R+10 partisan voter index. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the August 6 Republican primary unopposed, while Democrat Heidi Kuhn prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged general election matchup on November 3 against Kustoff and multiple independents. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's rural West Tennessee base and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$30,940 ปริมาณ
$30,940 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$30,940 ปริมาณ
$30,940 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$18,392 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$12,549 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee following mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and produced an R+10 partisan voter index. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the August 6 Republican primary unopposed, while Democrat Heidi Kuhn prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged general election matchup on November 3 against Kustoff and multiple independents. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's rural West Tennessee base and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,940วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee following mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and produced an R+10 partisan voter index. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the August 6 Republican primary unopposed, while Democrat Heidi Kuhn prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged general election matchup on November 3 against Kustoff and multiple independents. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's rural West Tennessee base and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,940วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee following mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and produced an R+10 partisan voter index. Incumbent David Kustoff secured the August 6 Republican primary unopposed, while Democrat Heidi Kuhn prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged general election matchup on November 3 against Kustoff and multiple independents. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican based on the district's rural West Tennessee base and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though a major national political shift, candidate health event, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย