Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and received solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary by defeating Van Hilleary and others, while Mike Croley won the Democratic primary. The open seat, vacated by John Rose's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district redrawn to favor Republicans across recent statewide voting patterns. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability because the structural partisan lean and nominee selection have produced no recent polling or developments that narrow the gap. A Democratic victory would require either an unprecedented turnout surge or a late-breaking event capable of overcoming the district's consistent Republican margins in presidential and statewide races.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-06 House Election Winner
$14,021 ปริมาณ
$14,021 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$14,021 ปริมาณ
$14,021 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and received solid or safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary by defeating Van Hilleary and others, while Mike Croley won the Democratic primary. The open seat, vacated by John Rose's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district redrawn to favor Republicans across recent statewide voting patterns. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability because the structural partisan lean and nominee selection have produced no recent polling or developments that narrow the gap. A Democratic victory would require either an unprecedented turnout surge or a late-breaking event capable of overcoming the district's consistent Republican margins in presidential and statewide races.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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