Tennessee’s 6th congressional district, an open seat after Republican incumbent John Rose retired to pursue the governorship, maintains a pronounced Republican lean following the state legislature’s May 2026 redistricting. The new boundaries shifted the district further right, with Donald Trump carrying the redrawn map by 27 points and forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary, are competing ahead of the August 6 primary, while Democratic candidates face an uphill path in a district with a strong conservative voting record. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors; an upset would require either an unusually weak Republican nominee or a major late-cycle shift in voter turnout or national conditions before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-06 House Election Winner
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 6th congressional district, an open seat after Republican incumbent John Rose retired to pursue the governorship, maintains a pronounced Republican lean following the state legislature’s May 2026 redistricting. The new boundaries shifted the district further right, with Donald Trump carrying the redrawn map by 27 points and forecasters rating it Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary, are competing ahead of the August 6 primary, while Democratic candidates face an uphill path in a district with a strong conservative voting record. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors; an upset would require either an unusually weak Republican nominee or a major late-cycle shift in voter turnout or national conditions before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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