Redistricting finalized in May 2026 removed Nashville's Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan voting index to R+10 and producing a simulated 2024 Trump margin of roughly 23 points. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces only a primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats field multiple candidates including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's rural and suburban composition across Maury, Lewis, Marshall, and portions of Williamson and Wilson counties. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November while leaving limited scope for Democratic gains absent major shifts in the general-election environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$28,368 ปริมาณ
$28,368 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
16%
$28,368 ปริมาณ
$28,368 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,550 ปริมาณ
76%
Democratic Party
$14,819 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized in May 2026 removed Nashville's Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan voting index to R+10 and producing a simulated 2024 Trump margin of roughly 23 points. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces only a primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats field multiple candidates including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's rural and suburban composition across Maury, Lewis, Marshall, and portions of Williamson and Wilson counties. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November while leaving limited scope for Democratic gains absent major shifts in the general-election environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,368วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting finalized in May 2026 removed Nashville's Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan voting index to R+10 and producing a simulated 2024 Trump margin of roughly 23 points. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces only a primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats field multiple candidates including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's rural and suburban composition across Maury, Lewis, Marshall, and portions of Williamson and Wilson counties. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November while leaving limited scope for Democratic gains absent major shifts in the general-election environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,368วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting finalized in May 2026 removed Nashville's Davidson County from Tennessee's 5th congressional district, shifting its partisan voting index to R+10 and producing a simulated 2024 Trump margin of roughly 23 points. Incumbent Republican Andy Ogles now faces only a primary challenge from former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher ahead of the August 6 vote, while Democrats field multiple candidates including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's rural and suburban composition across Maury, Lewis, Marshall, and portions of Williamson and Wilson counties. These structural changes underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November while leaving limited scope for Democratic gains absent major shifts in the general-election environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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