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icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

icon for Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Up

84% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่

Up

84% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**High trader consensus for increased voter turnout in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election stems from Germany's super election year, featuring multiple concurrent Landtag votes that amplify national media focus and mobilization efforts.** Recent state contests, including Baden-Württemberg's March election, recorded notable rises in participation amid competitive multi-party dynamics and expanded eligibility rules in some jurisdictions. In Berlin, a fragmented polling landscape involving CDU-SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD underscores coalition uncertainty and policy debates under the current Wegner government, factors historically linked to greater engagement. Traders appear to weigh these catalysts—heightened visibility, campaign intensity, and precedent from parallel 2026 races—against baseline participation levels from the prior cycle, producing the strong implied probability for an uptick.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0
วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).**High trader consensus for increased voter turnout in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election stems from Germany's super election year, featuring multiple concurrent Landtag votes that amplify national media focus and mobilization efforts.** Recent state contests, including Baden-Württemberg's March election, recorded notable rises in participation amid competitive multi-party dynamics and expanded eligibility rules in some jurisdictions. In Berlin, a fragmented polling landscape involving CDU-SPD, Greens, Left, and AfD underscores coalition uncertainty and policy debates under the current Wegner government, factors historically linked to greater engagement. Traders appear to weigh these catalysts—heightened visibility, campaign intensity, and precedent from parallel 2026 races—against baseline participation levels from the prior cycle, producing the strong implied probability for an uptick.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0
วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%. If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).

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คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" คือตลาดพยากรณ์แบบ รายวัน บน Polymarket ที่เทรดเดอร์ซื้อขายหุ้นว่าราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? จะจบสูงกว่า ("Up") หรือต่ำกว่า ("Down") ราคาเปิดตัวในช่วง รายวัน ที่ระบุในชื่อ ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันของตลาดคือ 84% สำหรับ "Up" ราคา 84% หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 84% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ราคาอัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่เทรดเดอร์ตอบสนองต่อการเคลื่อนไหวของราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? หุ้นที่ถูกต้องแลกคืนได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดปิด

"Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" เป็นตลาดระยะสั้นที่เปิดอยู่บน Polymarket ปริมาณการเทรดอาจสะสมเร็วขณะที่ช่วง รายวัน ดำเนินไป — เข้ามาเร็วเพื่อช่วยกำหนดอัตราต่อรองก่อนหน้าต่างนี้ปิด

เทรด "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" โดยตัดสินใจว่าราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? ตอนเที่ยง ET วันที่ September 20 จะสูงกว่า ("Up") หรือต่ำกว่า ("Down") ราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? ตอนเที่ยง ET วันที่ August 6 ซื้อ "Up" ถ้าคุณคิดว่าราคาจะขึ้นเทียบวันต่อวัน หรือ "Down" ถ้าคิดว่าจะลง ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อปิด หุ้นจ่ายออก $1.00 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกจะมีค่า $0

ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันของ "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" คือ 84% สำหรับ "Up" หมายความว่าฝูงชน Polymarket ให้โอกาส 84% ที่ราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? จะจบ up ในช่วง รายวัน นี้ อัตราต่อรองเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่เทรดเดอร์ตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? สด ตลอดทั้งวัน อัตราต่อรองสะท้อนความรู้สึกที่เปลี่ยนไปตามการเคลื่อนไหวราคาของวัน กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือเทรดเลยก่อนหน้าต่างปิด

ตลาด "Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?" ปิดโดยเปรียบเทียบราคา Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? ตอนเที่ยง ET วันที่ September 20 กับเที่ยง ET วันที่ August 6 โดยใช้ราคาปิดแท่งเทียน 1 นาที Binance BERLIN-STATE-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT ถ้าราคาเที่ยง September 20 สูงกว่า ผลลัพธ์คือ "Up" ถ้าต่ำกว่าคือ "Down" ถ้าเท่ากัน ตลาดปิดแบบ 50-50 คุณสามารถดูเกณฑ์การปิดและแหล่งข้อมูลทั้งหมดในส่วน "Rules" ในหน้านี้