Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts by institutes including Kiel, IMK, and IW—to 1.3% from prior estimates around 0.6-0.8%—reflect stronger-than-expected H1 growth of 0.4% and 0.3% q/q, driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. This supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome at 55.5% implied probability for Q3. However, Q3 momentum faces near-term drags from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, subdued private consumption amid 2.7% inflation, and temporary Rhine low-water disruptions, with Kiel projecting just 0.1% q/q expansion. Traders weigh these against improving business sentiment and potential Q4 pickup, consistent with the 0.7-0.9% bucket at 34.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGermany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
1.3%+ 56%
0.7-0.9% 35%
1.0-1.2% 12%
≤0.0% <1%
$48,191 ปริมาณ
$48,191 ปริมาณ
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
1%
0.1-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.6%
1%
0.7-0.9%
35%
1.0-1.2%
12%
1.3%+
56%
1.3%+ 56%
0.7-0.9% 35%
1.0-1.2% 12%
≤0.0% <1%
$48,191 ปริมาณ
$48,191 ปริมาณ
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$2,105 ปริมาณ
1%
0.1-0.3%
$2,229 ปริมาณ
1%
0.4-0.6%
$1,286 ปริมาณ
1%
0.7-0.9%
$8,442 ปริมาณ
35%
1.0-1.2%
$25,213 ปริมาณ
12%
1.3%+
$8,915 ปริมาณ
56%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts by institutes including Kiel, IMK, and IW—to 1.3% from prior estimates around 0.6-0.8%—reflect stronger-than-expected H1 growth of 0.4% and 0.3% q/q, driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. This supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome at 55.5% implied probability for Q3. However, Q3 momentum faces near-term drags from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, subdued private consumption amid 2.7% inflation, and temporary Rhine low-water disruptions, with Kiel projecting just 0.1% q/q expansion. Traders weigh these against improving business sentiment and potential Q4 pickup, consistent with the 0.7-0.9% bucket at 34.5%.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,191วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts by institutes including Kiel, IMK, and IW—to 1.3% from prior estimates around 0.6-0.8%—reflect stronger-than-expected H1 growth of 0.4% and 0.3% q/q, driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. This supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome at 55.5% implied probability for Q3. However, Q3 momentum faces near-term drags from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, subdued private consumption amid 2.7% inflation, and temporary Rhine low-water disruptions, with Kiel projecting just 0.1% q/q expansion. Traders weigh these against improving business sentiment and potential Q4 pickup, consistent with the 0.7-0.9% bucket at 34.5%.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,191วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts by institutes including Kiel, IMK, and IW—to 1.3% from prior estimates around 0.6-0.8%—reflect stronger-than-expected H1 growth of 0.4% and 0.3% q/q, driven by exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure. This supports the market's leading 1.3%+ outcome at 55.5% implied probability for Q3. However, Q3 momentum faces near-term drags from elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, subdued private consumption amid 2.7% inflation, and temporary Rhine low-water disruptions, with Kiel projecting just 0.1% q/q expansion. Traders weigh these against improving business sentiment and potential Q4 pickup, consistent with the 0.7-0.9% bucket at 34.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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