Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts, with institutes like IMK and Kiel now projecting 1.3% annual growth after stronger-than-expected H1 exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 0.7-0.9% or higher Q3 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this momentum alongside persistent headwinds, including elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pushing HICP inflation toward 2.7-2.9% and temporary Q3 drags from low Rhine water levels that Kiel models at just 0.1% quarterly expansion. Weak private consumption and policy uncertainty continue to limit household contributions, while government spending provides the main offset; upcoming Q3 data releases will test whether the recovery broadens beyond export-led gains seen in Q2's 0.3% print.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGermany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
0.7-0.9% 21%
1.3%+ 19%
1.0-1.2% 17%
0.1-0.3% 7.3%
$36,154 ปริมาณ
$36,154 ปริมาณ
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
5%
0.1-0.3%
7%
0.4-0.6%
5%
0.7-0.9%
21%
1.0-1.2%
17%
1.3%+
19%
0.7-0.9% 21%
1.3%+ 19%
1.0-1.2% 17%
0.1-0.3% 7.3%
$36,154 ปริมาณ
$36,154 ปริมาณ
Oct 30, 2026
≤0.0%
$1,371 ปริมาณ
5%
0.1-0.3%
$1,654 ปริมาณ
7%
0.4-0.6%
$713 ปริมาณ
5%
0.7-0.9%
$5,824 ปริมาณ
21%
1.0-1.2%
$22,279 ปริมาณ
17%
1.3%+
$4,312 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts, with institutes like IMK and Kiel now projecting 1.3% annual growth after stronger-than-expected H1 exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 0.7-0.9% or higher Q3 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this momentum alongside persistent headwinds, including elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pushing HICP inflation toward 2.7-2.9% and temporary Q3 drags from low Rhine water levels that Kiel models at just 0.1% quarterly expansion. Weak private consumption and policy uncertainty continue to limit household contributions, while government spending provides the main offset; upcoming Q3 data releases will test whether the recovery broadens beyond export-led gains seen in Q2's 0.3% print.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,154วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts, with institutes like IMK and Kiel now projecting 1.3% annual growth after stronger-than-expected H1 exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 0.7-0.9% or higher Q3 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this momentum alongside persistent headwinds, including elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pushing HICP inflation toward 2.7-2.9% and temporary Q3 drags from low Rhine water levels that Kiel models at just 0.1% quarterly expansion. Weak private consumption and policy uncertainty continue to limit household contributions, while government spending provides the main offset; upcoming Q3 data releases will test whether the recovery broadens beyond export-led gains seen in Q2's 0.3% print.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,154วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent upward revisions to Germany's 2026 GDP forecasts, with institutes like IMK and Kiel now projecting 1.3% annual growth after stronger-than-expected H1 exports and fiscal stimulus on defense and infrastructure, underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 0.7-0.9% or higher Q3 outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this momentum alongside persistent headwinds, including elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions pushing HICP inflation toward 2.7-2.9% and temporary Q3 drags from low Rhine water levels that Kiel models at just 0.1% quarterly expansion. Weak private consumption and policy uncertainty continue to limit household contributions, while government spending provides the main offset; upcoming Q3 data releases will test whether the recovery broadens beyond export-led gains seen in Q2's 0.3% print.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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