Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is centered on the 0.8-1.1% annualized range at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections of 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter expansion after Q2’s revised 0.6% print. Stronger-than-expected second-quarter data, positive survey indicators, and carry-over effects supported the modest upward revision to 0.9% annual growth for 2026 overall, while the adjusted measure excluding Irish volatility points to underlying domestic demand near 1.2%. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation toward 3.0% for the year and 3.6% in Q4, tempering consumer spending despite unemployment holding near 6.2%. Traders are weighting these countervailing forces—heathy Q2 momentum and resilient labor markets against persistent price pressures—into the current distribution ahead of the late-October Eurostat release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 24.5%
0.4-0.7% 13.3%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,506 ปริมาณ
$62,506 ปริมาณ
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
13%
0.8-1.1%
56%
1.2-1.5%
25%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 24.5%
0.4-0.7% 13.3%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,506 ปริมาณ
$62,506 ปริมาณ
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
13%
0.8-1.1%
56%
1.2-1.5%
25%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is centered on the 0.8-1.1% annualized range at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting the ECB’s September 2026 staff projections of 0.2-0.3% quarter-on-quarter expansion after Q2’s revised 0.6% print. Stronger-than-expected second-quarter data, positive survey indicators, and carry-over effects supported the modest upward revision to 0.9% annual growth for 2026 overall, while the adjusted measure excluding Irish volatility points to underlying domestic demand near 1.2%. Elevated energy prices stemming from the Middle East conflict have lifted headline HICP inflation toward 3.0% for the year and 3.6% in Q4, tempering consumer spending despite unemployment holding near 6.2%. Traders are weighting these countervailing forces—heathy Q2 momentum and resilient labor markets against persistent price pressures—into the current distribution ahead of the late-October Eurostat release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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