Trader consensus against negative U.S. GDP growth in 2026 at 94.5% rests primarily on the latest data releases and forward estimates. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported real GDP expanding 2.1% annualized in Q1 2026 and 1.5% in Q2, while the Congressional Budget Office and private forecasters project full-year growth of 2.0–2.5%, supported by fiscal tailwinds from the 2025 reconciliation act, AI-driven investment, and resilient consumer spending. These factors outweigh tariff headwinds and slower labor-market momentum. A meaningful downturn would require sharper-than-expected monetary tightening, major trade disruptions, or a rapid labor-market deterioration that current indicators do not signal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNegative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$31,783 ปริมาณ
$31,783 ปริมาณ
Jan 29, 2027
$31,783 ปริมาณ
$31,783 ปริมาณ
Jan 29, 2027
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.Trader consensus against negative U.S. GDP growth in 2026 at 94.5% rests primarily on the latest data releases and forward estimates. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported real GDP expanding 2.1% annualized in Q1 2026 and 1.5% in Q2, while the Congressional Budget Office and private forecasters project full-year growth of 2.0–2.5%, supported by fiscal tailwinds from the 2025 reconciliation act, AI-driven investment, and resilient consumer spending. These factors outweigh tariff headwinds and slower labor-market momentum. A meaningful downturn would require sharper-than-expected monetary tightening, major trade disruptions, or a rapid labor-market deterioration that current indicators do not signal.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,783วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.Trader consensus against negative U.S. GDP growth in 2026 at 94.5% rests primarily on the latest data releases and forward estimates. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported real GDP expanding 2.1% annualized in Q1 2026 and 1.5% in Q2, while the Congressional Budget Office and private forecasters project full-year growth of 2.0–2.5%, supported by fiscal tailwinds from the 2025 reconciliation act, AI-driven investment, and resilient consumer spending. These factors outweigh tariff headwinds and slower labor-market momentum. A meaningful downturn would require sharper-than-expected monetary tightening, major trade disruptions, or a rapid labor-market deterioration that current indicators do not signal.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,783วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus against negative U.S. GDP growth in 2026 at 94.5% rests primarily on the latest data releases and forward estimates. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported real GDP expanding 2.1% annualized in Q1 2026 and 1.5% in Q2, while the Congressional Budget Office and private forecasters project full-year growth of 2.0–2.5%, supported by fiscal tailwinds from the 2025 reconciliation act, AI-driven investment, and resilient consumer spending. These factors outweigh tariff headwinds and slower labor-market momentum. A meaningful downturn would require sharper-than-expected monetary tightening, major trade disruptions, or a rapid labor-market deterioration that current indicators do not signal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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