Strong market-implied odds of 98.2% for no change at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting reflect the Federal Reserve’s April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings driven by global energy prices. Recent FOMC minutes and communications emphasize waiting for these supply-driven pressures to subside before easing, with labor-market data remaining resilient and growth forecasts stable. Traders pricing in negligible probabilities for a 25-basis-point move in either direction are aligning with futures-implied paths and analyst consensus that the central bank will maintain its data-dependent stance. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a significant deterioration in employment indicators could still introduce volatility ahead of the meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนมิถุนายน?
การตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนมิถุนายน?
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 98.3%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
$55,773,255 ปริมาณ
$55,773,255 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
98%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
1%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 98.3%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
$55,773,255 ปริมาณ
$55,773,255 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$13,518,914 ปริมาณ
<1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$10,320,586 ปริมาณ
1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$9,672,812 ปริมาณ
98%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$9,146,781 ปริมาณ
1%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$13,124,442 ปริมาณ
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong market-implied odds of 98.2% for no change at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting reflect the Federal Reserve’s April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings driven by global energy prices. Recent FOMC minutes and communications emphasize waiting for these supply-driven pressures to subside before easing, with labor-market data remaining resilient and growth forecasts stable. Traders pricing in negligible probabilities for a 25-basis-point move in either direction are aligning with futures-implied paths and analyst consensus that the central bank will maintain its data-dependent stance. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a significant deterioration in employment indicators could still introduce volatility ahead of the meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,773,255วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong market-implied odds of 98.2% for no change at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting reflect the Federal Reserve’s April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings driven by global energy prices. Recent FOMC minutes and communications emphasize waiting for these supply-driven pressures to subside before easing, with labor-market data remaining resilient and growth forecasts stable. Traders pricing in negligible probabilities for a 25-basis-point move in either direction are aligning with futures-implied paths and analyst consensus that the central bank will maintain its data-dependent stance. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a significant deterioration in employment indicators could still introduce volatility ahead of the meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,773,255วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strong market-implied odds of 98.2% for no change at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting reflect the Federal Reserve’s April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings driven by global energy prices. Recent FOMC minutes and communications emphasize waiting for these supply-driven pressures to subside before easing, with labor-market data remaining resilient and growth forecasts stable. Traders pricing in negligible probabilities for a 25-basis-point move in either direction are aligning with futures-implied paths and analyst consensus that the central bank will maintain its data-dependent stance. A sharper-than-expected decline in core inflation or a significant deterioration in employment indicators could still introduce volatility ahead of the meeting and updated Summary of Economic Projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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