Trader consensus around a 97 percent probability against abolition of the Federal Reserve before 2027 reflects the institution's deep statutory entrenchment, the narrow path for any repeal bill through Congress, and the absence of broad support even in unified Republican control. Legislation introduced in 2025 to eliminate the Board of Governors and repeal the Federal Reserve Act remains stalled in committee with limited cosponsors, while recent leadership changes have shifted focus toward internal reforms such as framework reviews and balance-sheet adjustments rather than dissolution. Significant barriers include Senate procedural requirements, the economic disruption that would accompany ending the central bank's lender-of-last-resort role, and historical precedent favoring incremental changes over outright elimination. Late-breaking developments that could still move odds include an acute financial crisis prompting emergency restructuring, unexpected shifts in congressional majorities capable of overriding procedural hurdles, or coordinated executive and legislative action to replace the current mandate with an alternative monetary arrangement.