The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation pressures and a solid labor market as key factors tempering rate cut expectations. March CPI surged 0.9% monthly to an annual 3.3%, exceeding forecasts, while unemployment eased to 4.3% amid robust nonfarm payrolls, reinforcing a "higher-for-longer" policy stance. CME FedWatch Tool reflects near-100% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with markets pricing a median year-end 2026 rate near 3.4%, aligning with the latest dot plot. Polymarket trader consensus, wagering over $1M, leans toward the rate eventually dipping below 3.25% before 2027, though upcoming April CPI (May 12 release) and June FOMC could shift dynamics if inflation reaccelerates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วอัตราดอกเบี้ยเฟดจะแตะที่เท่าไหร่ก่อนปี 2027
อัตราดอกเบี้ยเฟดจะแตะที่เท่าไหร่ก่อนปี 2027
$1,350,446 ปริมาณ
↑ 5.5%
5%
↑ 5.25%
4%
↑ 5.0%
5%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
8%
↓ 3.25%
70%
↓ 3.0%
30%
↓ 2.75%
15%
↓ 2.5%
9%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
7%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
4%
↓ 1.0%
8%
↓ 0.75%
8%
↓ 0.5%
5%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
3%
$1,350,446 ปริมาณ
↑ 5.5%
5%
↑ 5.25%
4%
↑ 5.0%
5%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
8%
↓ 3.25%
70%
↓ 3.0%
30%
↓ 2.75%
15%
↓ 2.5%
9%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
7%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
4%
↓ 1.0%
8%
↓ 0.75%
8%
↓ 0.5%
5%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation pressures and a solid labor market as key factors tempering rate cut expectations. March CPI surged 0.9% monthly to an annual 3.3%, exceeding forecasts, while unemployment eased to 4.3% amid robust nonfarm payrolls, reinforcing a "higher-for-longer" policy stance. CME FedWatch Tool reflects near-100% odds of no change at the April 28-29 meeting, with markets pricing a median year-end 2026 rate near 3.4%, aligning with the latest dot plot. Polymarket trader consensus, wagering over $1M, leans toward the rate eventually dipping below 3.25% before 2027, though upcoming April CPI (May 12 release) and June FOMC could shift dynamics if inflation reaccelerates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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