Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven in part by elevated global energy prices amid Middle East developments, have tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing and introduced modest pricing for a possible 25-basis-point hike by early 2027. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range following the April 28-29 FOMC decision, with trader consensus heavily favoring no change at the June 16-17 meeting. Resilient consumer spending and solid economic activity further support the current policy stance, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will navigate shifting rate-path expectations against the Fed's dual mandate. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and the FOMC's updated economic projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$155,014 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
12%
October Meeting
28%
$155,014 ปริมาณ
June Meeting
$16,328 ปริมาณ
1%
July Meeting
$1,768 ปริมาณ
6%
September Meeting
$3,063 ปริมาณ
12%
October Meeting
$2,547 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven in part by elevated global energy prices amid Middle East developments, have tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing and introduced modest pricing for a possible 25-basis-point hike by early 2027. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range following the April 28-29 FOMC decision, with trader consensus heavily favoring no change at the June 16-17 meeting. Resilient consumer spending and solid economic activity further support the current policy stance, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will navigate shifting rate-path expectations against the Fed's dual mandate. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and the FOMC's updated economic projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,014วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven in part by elevated global energy prices amid Middle East developments, have tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing and introduced modest pricing for a possible 25-basis-point hike by early 2027. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range following the April 28-29 FOMC decision, with trader consensus heavily favoring no change at the June 16-17 meeting. Resilient consumer spending and solid economic activity further support the current policy stance, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will navigate shifting rate-path expectations against the Fed's dual mandate. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and the FOMC's updated economic projections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,014วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven in part by elevated global energy prices amid Middle East developments, have tempered expectations for near-term Fed easing and introduced modest pricing for a possible 25-basis-point hike by early 2027. The federal funds rate remains steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range following the April 28-29 FOMC decision, with trader consensus heavily favoring no change at the June 16-17 meeting. Resilient consumer spending and solid economic activity further support the current policy stance, while incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will navigate shifting rate-path expectations against the Fed's dual mandate. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and the FOMC's updated economic projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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