The Federal Open Market Committee has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April 2026 meeting amid elevated inflation readings and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.3%-4.4%. Recent data show core PCE inflation remaining above the 2% target, reinforced by energy price pressures, while growth projections have edged higher in the latest Summary of Economic Projections. Traders in prediction markets assign roughly 96-97% probability to no policy change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting consensus that the next move is unlikely to be a hike before late 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include the June dot plot revision and May employment and inflation releases, which could shift rate-path expectations if they signal renewed disinflation or labor-market softening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$155,246 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
5%
September Meeting
12%
October Meeting
28%
$155,246 ปริมาณ
June Meeting
$16,328 ปริมาณ
1%
July Meeting
$2,000 ปริมาณ
5%
September Meeting
$3,063 ปริมาณ
12%
October Meeting
$2,547 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Open Market Committee has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April 2026 meeting amid elevated inflation readings and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.3%-4.4%. Recent data show core PCE inflation remaining above the 2% target, reinforced by energy price pressures, while growth projections have edged higher in the latest Summary of Economic Projections. Traders in prediction markets assign roughly 96-97% probability to no policy change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting consensus that the next move is unlikely to be a hike before late 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include the June dot plot revision and May employment and inflation releases, which could shift rate-path expectations if they signal renewed disinflation or labor-market softening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,246วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Open Market Committee has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April 2026 meeting amid elevated inflation readings and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.3%-4.4%. Recent data show core PCE inflation remaining above the 2% target, reinforced by energy price pressures, while growth projections have edged higher in the latest Summary of Economic Projections. Traders in prediction markets assign roughly 96-97% probability to no policy change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting consensus that the next move is unlikely to be a hike before late 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include the June dot plot revision and May employment and inflation releases, which could shift rate-path expectations if they signal renewed disinflation or labor-market softening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,246วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Open Market Committee has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April 2026 meeting amid elevated inflation readings and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.3%-4.4%. Recent data show core PCE inflation remaining above the 2% target, reinforced by energy price pressures, while growth projections have edged higher in the latest Summary of Economic Projections. Traders in prediction markets assign roughly 96-97% probability to no policy change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting consensus that the next move is unlikely to be a hike before late 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include the June dot plot revision and May employment and inflation releases, which could shift rate-path expectations if they signal renewed disinflation or labor-market softening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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