Recent FOMC communications and July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year—with core inflation at 2.5%—continue to anchor trader expectations around the September 15–16 meeting, where the federal funds rate target remains 3.50–3.75%. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and three dissenting votes at the July meeting for a 25-basis-point hike have lifted the implied probability of action, as reflected in futures pricing near 57%. A resilient labor market and solid economic growth contrast with the Fed’s commitment to its 2% goal, while the August CPI release on September 11 and the Beige Book offer fresh inputs that could shift the market-implied rate path ahead of the next decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,698,404 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
September Meeting
60%
October Meeting
67%
$2,698,404 ปริมาณ
September Meeting
$1,168,103 ปริมาณ
60%
October Meeting
$570,301 ปริมาณ
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FOMC communications and July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year—with core inflation at 2.5%—continue to anchor trader expectations around the September 15–16 meeting, where the federal funds rate target remains 3.50–3.75%. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and three dissenting votes at the July meeting for a 25-basis-point hike have lifted the implied probability of action, as reflected in futures pricing near 57%. A resilient labor market and solid economic growth contrast with the Fed’s commitment to its 2% goal, while the August CPI release on September 11 and the Beige Book offer fresh inputs that could shift the market-implied rate path ahead of the next decision.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,698,404วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FOMC communications and July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year—with core inflation at 2.5%—continue to anchor trader expectations around the September 15–16 meeting, where the federal funds rate target remains 3.50–3.75%. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and three dissenting votes at the July meeting for a 25-basis-point hike have lifted the implied probability of action, as reflected in futures pricing near 57%. A resilient labor market and solid economic growth contrast with the Fed’s commitment to its 2% goal, while the August CPI release on September 11 and the Beige Book offer fresh inputs that could shift the market-implied rate path ahead of the next decision.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,698,404วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent FOMC communications and July CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year—with core inflation at 2.5%—continue to anchor trader expectations around the September 15–16 meeting, where the federal funds rate target remains 3.50–3.75%. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and three dissenting votes at the July meeting for a 25-basis-point hike have lifted the implied probability of action, as reflected in futures pricing near 57%. A resilient labor market and solid economic growth contrast with the Fed’s commitment to its 2% goal, while the August CPI release on September 11 and the Beige Book offer fresh inputs that could shift the market-implied rate path ahead of the next decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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