Persistent inflation and resilient labor market conditions underpin the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied odds of no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI rose to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since 2023, driven by energy costs amid ongoing supply shocks, while core measures held near 2.8%. With the federal funds rate at 3.75% and the June meeting likely to signal steady policy, traders see little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data. June CPI, due June 10, and the June 16-17 FOMC statement represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than expected or labor data weakens materially.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนกรกฎาคม?
การตัดสินใจของเฟดในเดือนกรกฎาคม?
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 93%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 5.6%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 2.2%
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน <1%
$7,347,651 ปริมาณ
$7,347,651 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
2%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
93%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
6%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 93%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 5.6%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน 2.2%
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน <1%
$7,347,651 ปริมาณ
$7,347,651 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
ลดมากกว่า 50 จุดฐาน
$940,880 ปริมาณ
1%
ลดลง 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$734,169 ปริมาณ
2%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$937,755 ปริมาณ
93%
ปรับขึ้น 25 จุดพื้นฐาน
$3,768,087 ปริมาณ
6%
ปรับขึ้นมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$967,657 ปริมาณ
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation and resilient labor market conditions underpin the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied odds of no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI rose to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since 2023, driven by energy costs amid ongoing supply shocks, while core measures held near 2.8%. With the federal funds rate at 3.75% and the June meeting likely to signal steady policy, traders see little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data. June CPI, due June 10, and the June 16-17 FOMC statement represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than expected or labor data weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,347,651วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation and resilient labor market conditions underpin the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied odds of no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI rose to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since 2023, driven by energy costs amid ongoing supply shocks, while core measures held near 2.8%. With the federal funds rate at 3.75% and the June meeting likely to signal steady policy, traders see little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data. June CPI, due June 10, and the June 16-17 FOMC statement represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than expected or labor data weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,347,651วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation and resilient labor market conditions underpin the overwhelming 92.5% market-implied odds of no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting. April 2026 CPI rose to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since 2023, driven by energy costs amid ongoing supply shocks, while core measures held near 2.8%. With the federal funds rate at 3.75% and the June meeting likely to signal steady policy, traders see little scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data. June CPI, due June 10, and the June 16-17 FOMC statement represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than expected or labor data weakens materially.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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