Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs and shelter, has anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate near current levels around 3.6%, creating a near-even split on any 2026 hike. Resilient labor market data and recent FOMC communications signaling limited scope for easing have offset earlier dot-plot projections for gradual cuts, while futures markets now imply modest tightening by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC meeting represent immediate catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if inflation moderates or accelerates, highlighting how persistent price pressures above the 2% target continue to balance the outlook against baseline assumptions of policy stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,488,625 ปริมาณ
$1,488,625 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,488,625 ปริมาณ
$1,488,625 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs and shelter, has anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate near current levels around 3.6%, creating a near-even split on any 2026 hike. Resilient labor market data and recent FOMC communications signaling limited scope for easing have offset earlier dot-plot projections for gradual cuts, while futures markets now imply modest tightening by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC meeting represent immediate catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if inflation moderates or accelerates, highlighting how persistent price pressures above the 2% target continue to balance the outlook against baseline assumptions of policy stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,625วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs and shelter, has anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate near current levels around 3.6%, creating a near-even split on any 2026 hike. Resilient labor market data and recent FOMC communications signaling limited scope for easing have offset earlier dot-plot projections for gradual cuts, while futures markets now imply modest tightening by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC meeting represent immediate catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if inflation moderates or accelerates, highlighting how persistent price pressures above the 2% target continue to balance the outlook against baseline assumptions of policy stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,641วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy costs and shelter, has anchored trader expectations for the federal funds rate near current levels around 3.6%, creating a near-even split on any 2026 hike. Resilient labor market data and recent FOMC communications signaling limited scope for easing have offset earlier dot-plot projections for gradual cuts, while futures markets now imply modest tightening by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC meeting represent immediate catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if inflation moderates or accelerates, highlighting how persistent price pressures above the 2% target continue to balance the outlook against baseline assumptions of policy stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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