Recent hotter-than-expected inflation, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with resilient labor data including May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, has narrowed the balance in trader sentiment for a 2026 federal funds rate hike. The current target range of 3.50–3.75% reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance amid persistent price pressures above the 2% goal. Market-implied odds near 50% incorporate limited near-term cut expectations and growing focus on whether inflation moderates before year-end. The May CPI release on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate catalysts, with subsequent summer prints on prices and employment likely to determine if odds shift decisively toward or away from a hike.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,488,570 ปริมาณ
$1,488,570 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,488,570 ปริมาณ
$1,488,570 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with resilient labor data including May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, has narrowed the balance in trader sentiment for a 2026 federal funds rate hike. The current target range of 3.50–3.75% reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance amid persistent price pressures above the 2% goal. Market-implied odds near 50% incorporate limited near-term cut expectations and growing focus on whether inflation moderates before year-end. The May CPI release on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate catalysts, with subsequent summer prints on prices and employment likely to determine if odds shift decisively toward or away from a hike.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,570วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with resilient labor data including May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, has narrowed the balance in trader sentiment for a 2026 federal funds rate hike. The current target range of 3.50–3.75% reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance amid persistent price pressures above the 2% goal. Market-implied odds near 50% incorporate limited near-term cut expectations and growing focus on whether inflation moderates before year-end. The May CPI release on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate catalysts, with subsequent summer prints on prices and employment likely to determine if odds shift decisively toward or away from a hike.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,570วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, combined with resilient labor data including May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 jobs, has narrowed the balance in trader sentiment for a 2026 federal funds rate hike. The current target range of 3.50–3.75% reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance amid persistent price pressures above the 2% goal. Market-implied odds near 50% incorporate limited near-term cut expectations and growing focus on whether inflation moderates before year-end. The May CPI release on June 10 and June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate catalysts, with subsequent summer prints on prices and employment likely to determine if odds shift decisively toward or away from a hike.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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