Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy pressures, combined with a resilient labor market featuring May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, has driven the near-even trader consensus on a 2026 rate hike. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75%, market-implied odds reflect balanced views on whether price pressures will moderate enough to preclude tightening or if stronger data will prompt action. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate swing factors, alongside subsequent inflation and employment prints, that could clarify the policy path amid ongoing data dependence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,488,723 ปริมาณ
$1,488,723 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,488,723 ปริมาณ
$1,488,723 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy pressures, combined with a resilient labor market featuring May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, has driven the near-even trader consensus on a 2026 rate hike. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75%, market-implied odds reflect balanced views on whether price pressures will moderate enough to preclude tightening or if stronger data will prompt action. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate swing factors, alongside subsequent inflation and employment prints, that could clarify the policy path amid ongoing data dependence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,723วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy pressures, combined with a resilient labor market featuring May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, has driven the near-even trader consensus on a 2026 rate hike. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75%, market-implied odds reflect balanced views on whether price pressures will moderate enough to preclude tightening or if stronger data will prompt action. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate swing factors, alongside subsequent inflation and employment prints, that could clarify the policy path amid ongoing data dependence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,734วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy pressures, combined with a resilient labor market featuring May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, has driven the near-even trader consensus on a 2026 rate hike. With the federal funds rate holding at 3.50–3.75%, market-implied odds reflect balanced views on whether price pressures will moderate enough to preclude tightening or if stronger data will prompt action. The May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting stand as immediate swing factors, alongside subsequent inflation and employment prints, that could clarify the policy path amid ongoing data dependence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย