Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy prices, alongside resilient May labor data showing 172,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment, has produced near-even trader sentiment on a 2026 Fed rate hike, with “No” at 51.5% implied probability. April FOMC minutes revealed that a majority of participants viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, while futures markets now embed modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting represent the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance, as markets weigh data dependence against the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,488,538 ปริมาณ
$1,488,538 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,488,538 ปริมาณ
$1,488,538 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy prices, alongside resilient May labor data showing 172,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment, has produced near-even trader sentiment on a 2026 Fed rate hike, with “No” at 51.5% implied probability. April FOMC minutes revealed that a majority of participants viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, while futures markets now embed modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting represent the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance, as markets weigh data dependence against the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,538วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy prices, alongside resilient May labor data showing 172,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment, has produced near-even trader sentiment on a 2026 Fed rate hike, with “No” at 51.5% implied probability. April FOMC minutes revealed that a majority of participants viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, while futures markets now embed modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting represent the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance, as markets weigh data dependence against the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,546วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy prices, alongside resilient May labor data showing 172,000 jobs added and 4.3% unemployment, has produced near-even trader sentiment on a 2026 Fed rate hike, with “No” at 51.5% implied probability. April FOMC minutes revealed that a majority of participants viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if inflation remains persistently above the 2% target, while futures markets now embed modest tightening to around 3.8% by year-end. The June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting represent the nearest catalysts that could shift the balance, as markets weigh data dependence against the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย