Recent strong U.S. employment data, including May payrolls that exceeded forecasts, combined with inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target amid resilient labor market conditions, has driven the market-implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 54.5%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.75% following the April hold, with the FOMC’s March dot plot still projecting modest easing, yet futures and economist updates from firms like Goldman Sachs now assign higher odds to hikes or delayed cuts into 2027. This closely contested pricing reflects uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will prompt tighter policy before year-end or allow stability. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI and jobs releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,564,837 ปริมาณ
$1,564,837 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,564,837 ปริมาณ
$1,564,837 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strong U.S. employment data, including May payrolls that exceeded forecasts, combined with inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target amid resilient labor market conditions, has driven the market-implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 54.5%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.75% following the April hold, with the FOMC’s March dot plot still projecting modest easing, yet futures and economist updates from firms like Goldman Sachs now assign higher odds to hikes or delayed cuts into 2027. This closely contested pricing reflects uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will prompt tighter policy before year-end or allow stability. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI and jobs releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,564,837วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strong U.S. employment data, including May payrolls that exceeded forecasts, combined with inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target amid resilient labor market conditions, has driven the market-implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 54.5%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.75% following the April hold, with the FOMC’s March dot plot still projecting modest easing, yet futures and economist updates from firms like Goldman Sachs now assign higher odds to hikes or delayed cuts into 2027. This closely contested pricing reflects uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will prompt tighter policy before year-end or allow stability. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI and jobs releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,567,042วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strong U.S. employment data, including May payrolls that exceeded forecasts, combined with inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% target amid resilient labor market conditions, has driven the market-implied probability of at least one rate hike in 2026 to 54.5%. The federal funds rate sits at 3.75% following the April hold, with the FOMC’s March dot plot still projecting modest easing, yet futures and economist updates from firms like Goldman Sachs now assign higher odds to hikes or delayed cuts into 2027. This closely contested pricing reflects uncertainty over whether persistent price pressures will prompt tighter policy before year-end or allow stability. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI and jobs releases represent key near-term catalysts that could shift trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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