Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike anywhere in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held firm through the March FOMC meeting amid balanced economic risks. Despite March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by a 10.9% energy spike from the Iran conflict—core inflation held at 2.6%, unemployment eased to 4.3%, and nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, signaling no overheating. FOMC projections still anticipate one rate cut later this year, with Chair Powell emphasizing a "wait-and-see" stance on geopolitical shocks. Upcoming April 29-30 FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could shift sentiment if inflation persists.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$907,158 ปริมาณ
$907,158 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$907,158 ปริมาณ
$907,158 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike anywhere in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held firm through the March FOMC meeting amid balanced economic risks. Despite March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by a 10.9% energy spike from the Iran conflict—core inflation held at 2.6%, unemployment eased to 4.3%, and nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, signaling no overheating. FOMC projections still anticipate one rate cut later this year, with Chair Powell emphasizing a "wait-and-see" stance on geopolitical shocks. Upcoming April 29-30 FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could shift sentiment if inflation persists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$907,158วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike anywhere in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held firm through the March FOMC meeting amid balanced economic risks. Despite March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by a 10.9% energy spike from the Iran conflict—core inflation held at 2.6%, unemployment eased to 4.3%, and nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, signaling no overheating. FOMC projections still anticipate one rate cut later this year, with Chair Powell emphasizing a "wait-and-see" stance on geopolitical shocks. Upcoming April 29-30 FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could shift sentiment if inflation persists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$907,158วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve rate hike anywhere in 2026, reflecting the Fed's steady 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range held firm through the March FOMC meeting amid balanced economic risks. Despite March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by a 10.9% energy spike from the Iran conflict—core inflation held at 2.6%, unemployment eased to 4.3%, and nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs, signaling no overheating. FOMC projections still anticipate one rate cut later this year, with Chair Powell emphasizing a "wait-and-see" stance on geopolitical shocks. Upcoming April 29-30 FOMC and May CPI release loom as key catalysts that could shift sentiment if inflation persists.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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