Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023 and driven by energy price pressures amid a resilient labor market, has anchored trader sentiment around a data-dependent Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets as of early June 2026 price in a gradual upward path toward 3.8% by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will prompt at least one 25 basis point hike later in the year or allow the current restrictive stance to persist without adjustment. The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for no hike balances these inflation risks against expectations of eventual moderation, with the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting serving as immediate catalysts that could shift market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$1,488,584 ปริมาณ
$1,488,584 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$1,488,584 ปริมาณ
$1,488,584 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023 and driven by energy price pressures amid a resilient labor market, has anchored trader sentiment around a data-dependent Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets as of early June 2026 price in a gradual upward path toward 3.8% by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will prompt at least one 25 basis point hike later in the year or allow the current restrictive stance to persist without adjustment. The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for no hike balances these inflation risks against expectations of eventual moderation, with the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting serving as immediate catalysts that could shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,584วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023 and driven by energy price pressures amid a resilient labor market, has anchored trader sentiment around a data-dependent Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets as of early June 2026 price in a gradual upward path toward 3.8% by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will prompt at least one 25 basis point hike later in the year or allow the current restrictive stance to persist without adjustment. The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for no hike balances these inflation risks against expectations of eventual moderation, with the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting serving as immediate catalysts that could shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,584วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since May 2023 and driven by energy price pressures amid a resilient labor market, has anchored trader sentiment around a data-dependent Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets as of early June 2026 price in a gradual upward path toward 3.8% by year-end, reflecting uncertainty over whether persistent inflation above the 2% target will prompt at least one 25 basis point hike later in the year or allow the current restrictive stance to persist without adjustment. The closely contested 51.5% implied probability for no hike balances these inflation risks against expectations of eventual moderation, with the May CPI release on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting serving as immediate catalysts that could shift market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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