Recent resilient U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payrolls and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, have lifted market-implied odds of at least one 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike in 2026 to 73.5%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, supply-chain pressures, and energy price risks have prompted several banks, including UBS, to forecast hikes at the September and December FOMC meetings. The June dot plot median shifted higher to 3.8% for end-2026, while the upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC decision represent key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper trader consensus on further tightening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
71% โอกาส
$8,781,680 ปริมาณ
$8,781,680 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
ใช่
71% โอกาส
$8,781,680 ปริมาณ
$8,781,680 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent resilient U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payrolls and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, have lifted market-implied odds of at least one 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike in 2026 to 73.5%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, supply-chain pressures, and energy price risks have prompted several banks, including UBS, to forecast hikes at the September and December FOMC meetings. The June dot plot median shifted higher to 3.8% for end-2026, while the upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC decision represent key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper trader consensus on further tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,781,680วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent resilient U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payrolls and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, have lifted market-implied odds of at least one 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike in 2026 to 73.5%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, supply-chain pressures, and energy price risks have prompted several banks, including UBS, to forecast hikes at the September and December FOMC meetings. The June dot plot median shifted higher to 3.8% for end-2026, while the upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC decision represent key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper trader consensus on further tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,781,680วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent resilient U.S. labor market data, including 162,000 August nonfarm payrolls and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with hawkish Federal Reserve communications under Chair Kevin Warsh, have lifted market-implied odds of at least one 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike in 2026 to 73.5%. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, supply-chain pressures, and energy price risks have prompted several banks, including UBS, to forecast hikes at the September and December FOMC meetings. The June dot plot median shifted higher to 3.8% for end-2026, while the upcoming September 11 CPI release and September 15-16 FOMC decision represent key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or temper trader consensus on further tightening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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