Trader consensus assigning a 90.5% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, while May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, underscoring a resilient labor market. This backdrop has anchored expectations for a hold at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing minimal odds of near-term easing and some analysts projecting a possible 25 basis point hike in 2027. The May CPI release due June 10 remains the key near-term catalyst that could alter the path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$105,450 ปริมาณ
$105,450 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$105,450 ปริมาณ
$105,450 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus assigning a 90.5% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, while May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, underscoring a resilient labor market. This backdrop has anchored expectations for a hold at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing minimal odds of near-term easing and some analysts projecting a possible 25 basis point hike in 2027. The May CPI release due June 10 remains the key near-term catalyst that could alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,450วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus assigning a 90.5% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, while May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, underscoring a resilient labor market. This backdrop has anchored expectations for a hold at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing minimal odds of near-term easing and some analysts projecting a possible 25 basis point hike in 2027. The May CPI release due June 10 remains the key near-term catalyst that could alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,450วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigning a 90.5% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance at the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, while May nonfarm payrolls added 172,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%, underscoring a resilient labor market. This backdrop has anchored expectations for a hold at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing minimal odds of near-term easing and some analysts projecting a possible 25 basis point hike in 2027. The May CPI release due June 10 remains the key near-term catalyst that could alter the path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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