Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" for a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with unemployment steady near 4.4%, core CPI inflation moderating to around 2.4%, and GDP growth tracking above 2%. The March 17-18 FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, projecting just one scheduled 25-basis-point cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation pressures from an earlier oil shock tied to the Iran conflict, with minutes released April 8 signaling some officials' openness to hikes. A recent ceasefire has eased energy costs slightly, reinforcing scheduled policy over emergency action akin to 2020 crisis responses. Upside risks to "Yes" include a sudden labor market crack—say, unemployment spiking above 5%—or banking turmoil prompting an unscheduled intermeeting cut, though upcoming April 28-29 FOMC data looms as the next catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$101,648 ปริมาณ
$101,648 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$101,648 ปริมาณ
$101,648 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" for a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with unemployment steady near 4.4%, core CPI inflation moderating to around 2.4%, and GDP growth tracking above 2%. The March 17-18 FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, projecting just one scheduled 25-basis-point cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation pressures from an earlier oil shock tied to the Iran conflict, with minutes released April 8 signaling some officials' openness to hikes. A recent ceasefire has eased energy costs slightly, reinforcing scheduled policy over emergency action akin to 2020 crisis responses. Upside risks to "Yes" include a sudden labor market crack—say, unemployment spiking above 5%—or banking turmoil prompting an unscheduled intermeeting cut, though upcoming April 28-29 FOMC data looms as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,648วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" for a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with unemployment steady near 4.4%, core CPI inflation moderating to around 2.4%, and GDP growth tracking above 2%. The March 17-18 FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, projecting just one scheduled 25-basis-point cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation pressures from an earlier oil shock tied to the Iran conflict, with minutes released April 8 signaling some officials' openness to hikes. A recent ceasefire has eased energy costs slightly, reinforcing scheduled policy over emergency action akin to 2020 crisis responses. Upside risks to "Yes" include a sudden labor market crack—say, unemployment spiking above 5%—or banking turmoil prompting an unscheduled intermeeting cut, though upcoming April 28-29 FOMC data looms as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,648วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" for a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting a resilient U.S. economy with unemployment steady near 4.4%, core CPI inflation moderating to around 2.4%, and GDP growth tracking above 2%. The March 17-18 FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75%, projecting just one scheduled 25-basis-point cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation pressures from an earlier oil shock tied to the Iran conflict, with minutes released April 8 signaling some officials' openness to hikes. A recent ceasefire has eased energy costs slightly, reinforcing scheduled policy over emergency action akin to 2020 crisis responses. Upside risks to "Yes" include a sudden labor market crack—say, unemployment spiking above 5%—or banking turmoil prompting an unscheduled intermeeting cut, though upcoming April 28-29 FOMC data looms as the next catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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