Traders assign a 94.7% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting broad economic stability and the absence of acute crisis signals. As of September 2026, inflation metrics have remained near the 2% target while labor market data show steady job growth without overheating, allowing the FOMC to maintain its scheduled policy path rather than resort to unscheduled actions. Market-implied rate expectations align with gradual adjustments at regular meetings, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occurred only amid sharp recessions or financial turmoil. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and December FOMC meetings plus monthly CPI and employment releases that could alter the outlook. A sudden geopolitical shock or abrupt deterioration in credit conditions could still prompt reconsideration, though current conditions offer little support for such a move.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
$195,686 ปริมาณ
$195,686 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
6% โอกาส
$195,686 ปริมาณ
$195,686 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 94.7% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting broad economic stability and the absence of acute crisis signals. As of September 2026, inflation metrics have remained near the 2% target while labor market data show steady job growth without overheating, allowing the FOMC to maintain its scheduled policy path rather than resort to unscheduled actions. Market-implied rate expectations align with gradual adjustments at regular meetings, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occurred only amid sharp recessions or financial turmoil. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and December FOMC meetings plus monthly CPI and employment releases that could alter the outlook. A sudden geopolitical shock or abrupt deterioration in credit conditions could still prompt reconsideration, though current conditions offer little support for such a move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$195,686วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 94.7% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting broad economic stability and the absence of acute crisis signals. As of September 2026, inflation metrics have remained near the 2% target while labor market data show steady job growth without overheating, allowing the FOMC to maintain its scheduled policy path rather than resort to unscheduled actions. Market-implied rate expectations align with gradual adjustments at regular meetings, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occurred only amid sharp recessions or financial turmoil. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and December FOMC meetings plus monthly CPI and employment releases that could alter the outlook. A sudden geopolitical shock or abrupt deterioration in credit conditions could still prompt reconsideration, though current conditions offer little support for such a move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$195,686วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 94.7% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting broad economic stability and the absence of acute crisis signals. As of September 2026, inflation metrics have remained near the 2% target while labor market data show steady job growth without overheating, allowing the FOMC to maintain its scheduled policy path rather than resort to unscheduled actions. Market-implied rate expectations align with gradual adjustments at regular meetings, consistent with historical patterns where emergency cuts occurred only amid sharp recessions or financial turmoil. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and December FOMC meetings plus monthly CPI and employment releases that could alter the outlook. A sudden geopolitical shock or abrupt deterioration in credit conditions could still prompt reconsideration, though current conditions offer little support for such a move.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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