SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June IPO roadshow and potential listing at $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion valuation, drives trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 38% implied probability, bolstered by the subsequent hike to exceed $2T. Recent Starship advancements, including the first 33-engine static fire of Super Heavy V3 booster and full-duration V3 ship test on April 15, position the reusable launch vehicle for its next orbital flight in weeks, addressing Elon Musk's precondition for public readiness amid Starlink's satellite constellation expansion. Falcon 9's launch dominance and projected revenue from high-bandwidth V3 satellites reinforce growth outlook, with traders monitoring Flight 12 and regulatory hurdles ahead of pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,833,890 ปริมาณ
$1,833,890 ปริมาณ
<1.0T
5%
1.0-1.5 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
6%
1.5T-2.0T
38%
2.0T-2.5T
23%
2.5 ล้านล้าน - 3.0 ล้านล้าน
11%
3.0T-3.5T
12%
3.5 ล้านล้าน+
2%
ไม่มีการเข้าตลาดหุ้นก่อนปี 2028
3%
$1,833,890 ปริมาณ
$1,833,890 ปริมาณ
<1.0T
$64,210 ปริมาณ
5%
1.0-1.5 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
$39,611 ปริมาณ
6%
1.5T-2.0T
$54,163 ปริมาณ
38%
2.0T-2.5T
$63,628 ปริมาณ
23%
2.5 ล้านล้าน - 3.0 ล้านล้าน
$809,010 ปริมาณ
11%
3.0T-3.5T
$475,116 ปริมาณ
12%
3.5 ล้านล้าน+
$58,221 ปริมาณ
2%
ไม่มีการเข้าตลาดหุ้นก่อนปี 2028
$269,930 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June IPO roadshow and potential listing at $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion valuation, drives trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 38% implied probability, bolstered by the subsequent hike to exceed $2T. Recent Starship advancements, including the first 33-engine static fire of Super Heavy V3 booster and full-duration V3 ship test on April 15, position the reusable launch vehicle for its next orbital flight in weeks, addressing Elon Musk's precondition for public readiness amid Starlink's satellite constellation expansion. Falcon 9's launch dominance and projected revenue from high-bandwidth V3 satellites reinforce growth outlook, with traders monitoring Flight 12 and regulatory hurdles ahead of pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,833,890ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June IPO roadshow and potential listing at $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion valuation, drives trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 38% implied probability, bolstered by the subsequent hike to exceed $2T. Recent Starship advancements, including the first 33-engine static fire of Super Heavy V3 booster and full-duration V3 ship test on April 15, position the reusable launch vehicle for its next orbital flight in weeks, addressing Elon Musk's precondition for public readiness amid Starlink's satellite constellation expansion. Falcon 9's launch dominance and projected revenue from high-bandwidth V3 satellites reinforce growth outlook, with traders monitoring Flight 12 and regulatory hurdles ahead of pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,833,890ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, targeting a June IPO roadshow and potential listing at $1.75 trillion to over $2 trillion valuation, drives trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T bracket at 38% implied probability, bolstered by the subsequent hike to exceed $2T. Recent Starship advancements, including the first 33-engine static fire of Super Heavy V3 booster and full-duration V3 ship test on April 15, position the reusable launch vehicle for its next orbital flight in weeks, addressing Elon Musk's precondition for public readiness amid Starlink's satellite constellation expansion. Falcon 9's launch dominance and projected revenue from high-bandwidth V3 satellites reinforce growth outlook, with traders monitoring Flight 12 and regulatory hurdles ahead of pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย