SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2.0T+ 46%
1.8T–2.0T 18%
1.6T–1.8T 14.0%
1.4T–1.6T 7.8%
$750,452 ปริมาณ
$750,452 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
No IPO before 2028
3%
<1.0T
4%
1.0T–1.2T
3%
1.2T–1.4T
4%
1.4T–1.6T
8%
1.6T–1.8T
14%
1.8T–2.0T
18%
2.0T+
46%
2.0T+ 46%
1.8T–2.0T 18%
1.6T–1.8T 14.0%
1.4T–1.6T 7.8%
$750,452 ปริมาณ
$750,452 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
No IPO before 2028
$153,560 ปริมาณ
3%
<1.0T
$51,780 ปริมาณ
4%
1.0T–1.2T
$33,551 ปริมาณ
3%
1.2T–1.4T
$53,571 ปริมาณ
4%
1.4T–1.6T
$101,517 ปริมาณ
8%
1.6T–1.8T
$102,679 ปริมาณ
14%
1.8T–2.0T
$83,576 ปริมาณ
18%
2.0T+
$170,217 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$750,452วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$750,452วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering earlier this month has propelled trader consensus toward high closing market caps, with 46% implied probability on 2.0T+ reflecting optimism over Starlink's surging revenue—now over $12 billion annually from its low Earth orbit satellite constellation—and reusable Falcon 9 launch cadence exceeding 100 missions yearly. Recent Starship static fire tests and April Starlink deployments underscore operational momentum, positioning the company ahead of rivals like Blue Origin. Secondary share prices surpassing $650 imply upside beyond the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation, though SEC review and June listing roadshow remain key catalysts amid market volatility risks. Lower brackets trail due to proven execution offsetting historical IPO discounts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย