Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS show roughly six to nine magnitude 7.0–7.9 events through July 2026, including the 7.8 offshore Philippines and paired 7.5 shocks near Venezuela, placing the year-to-date pace slightly below the long-term global mean of 15–16 such quakes annually. This positions the 14–16 outcome as the leading bin because subduction-zone clustering in the second half of the year historically compensates for quieter periods, while the 11–13 and 17–19 ranges capture year-to-year variability driven by aftershock sequences and plate-boundary behavior. No magnitude 8.0+ events have occurred, further anchoring trader sentiment around typical rather than extreme totals as monitoring continues through December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วแผ่นดินไหว 7.0 หรือสูงกว่าในปี 2026 มีกี่ครั้ง?
แผ่นดินไหว 7.0 หรือสูงกว่าในปี 2026 มีกี่ครั้ง?
14–16 46%
17–19 30%
11–13 19%
20+ 7.8%
$1,364,840 ปริมาณ
$1,364,840 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
8–10
1%
11–13
19%
14–16
46%
17–19
30%
20+
8%
14–16 46%
17–19 30%
11–13 19%
20+ 7.8%
$1,364,840 ปริมาณ
$1,364,840 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
8–10
$142,204 ปริมาณ
1%
11–13
$414,023 ปริมาณ
19%
14–16
$187,296 ปริมาณ
46%
17–19
$211,679 ปริมาณ
30%
20+
$65,606 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS show roughly six to nine magnitude 7.0–7.9 events through July 2026, including the 7.8 offshore Philippines and paired 7.5 shocks near Venezuela, placing the year-to-date pace slightly below the long-term global mean of 15–16 such quakes annually. This positions the 14–16 outcome as the leading bin because subduction-zone clustering in the second half of the year historically compensates for quieter periods, while the 11–13 and 17–19 ranges capture year-to-year variability driven by aftershock sequences and plate-boundary behavior. No magnitude 8.0+ events have occurred, further anchoring trader sentiment around typical rather than extreme totals as monitoring continues through December.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,364,840วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS show roughly six to nine magnitude 7.0–7.9 events through July 2026, including the 7.8 offshore Philippines and paired 7.5 shocks near Venezuela, placing the year-to-date pace slightly below the long-term global mean of 15–16 such quakes annually. This positions the 14–16 outcome as the leading bin because subduction-zone clustering in the second half of the year historically compensates for quieter periods, while the 11–13 and 17–19 ranges capture year-to-year variability driven by aftershock sequences and plate-boundary behavior. No magnitude 8.0+ events have occurred, further anchoring trader sentiment around typical rather than extreme totals as monitoring continues through December.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,364,840วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent seismic catalogs from the USGS show roughly six to nine magnitude 7.0–7.9 events through July 2026, including the 7.8 offshore Philippines and paired 7.5 shocks near Venezuela, placing the year-to-date pace slightly below the long-term global mean of 15–16 such quakes annually. This positions the 14–16 outcome as the leading bin because subduction-zone clustering in the second half of the year historically compensates for quieter periods, while the 11–13 and 17–19 ranges capture year-to-year variability driven by aftershock sequences and plate-boundary behavior. No magnitude 8.0+ events have occurred, further anchoring trader sentiment around typical rather than extreme totals as monitoring continues through December.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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