PAGASA's latest outlook for Metro Manila points to a habagat-driven pattern of scattered showers and 60% rain chance on August 19, supporting forecast highs near 29–31°C amid persistent cloud cover and moisture. These southwest monsoon conditions typically suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's clustered implied probabilities around 28–29°C. Model consensus highlights uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, while historical August baselines for Manila average 30–31°C under similar regimes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between monsoon moderation and any brief clear spells that could push readings toward 30°C or higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 19?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 19?
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
33%
29°C
26%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 33%
29°C 26%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$9 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$17 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$11 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$31 ปริมาณ
33%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
26%
30°C
$276 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$36 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlook for Metro Manila points to a habagat-driven pattern of scattered showers and 60% rain chance on August 19, supporting forecast highs near 29–31°C amid persistent cloud cover and moisture. These southwest monsoon conditions typically suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's clustered implied probabilities around 28–29°C. Model consensus highlights uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, while historical August baselines for Manila average 30–31°C under similar regimes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between monsoon moderation and any brief clear spells that could push readings toward 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$953วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlook for Metro Manila points to a habagat-driven pattern of scattered showers and 60% rain chance on August 19, supporting forecast highs near 29–31°C amid persistent cloud cover and moisture. These southwest monsoon conditions typically suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's clustered implied probabilities around 28–29°C. Model consensus highlights uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, while historical August baselines for Manila average 30–31°C under similar regimes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between monsoon moderation and any brief clear spells that could push readings toward 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$953วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest outlook for Metro Manila points to a habagat-driven pattern of scattered showers and 60% rain chance on August 19, supporting forecast highs near 29–31°C amid persistent cloud cover and moisture. These southwest monsoon conditions typically suppress daytime maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's clustered implied probabilities around 28–29°C. Model consensus highlights uncertainty in shower timing and intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, while historical August baselines for Manila average 30–31°C under similar regimes. Traders appear to weigh the balance between monsoon moderation and any brief clear spells that could push readings toward 30°C or higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย