Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
19°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
15%
21°C
52%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 52%
22°C 23%
20°C 15%
19°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$11 ปริมาณ
15%
21°C
$156 ปริมาณ
52%
22°C
$103 ปริมาณ
23%
23°C
$24 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$27 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$15 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C or higher
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$602วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$602วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models, including ECMWF and KNMI runs, centers on a daily maximum of 21–22°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by a moderating air mass after earlier mid-August heat and increased cloud cover with light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 22°C while reflecting a cooling trend evident in the past 48 hours of guidance. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 51% implied probability for exactly 21°C, incorporates uncertainty around precise timing of any showers or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C. Additional model updates through the weekend and official KNMI briefings will provide key inputs for resolution criteria based on verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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