Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 16?
Highest temperature in London on August 16?
26°C 42%
27°C 30%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
$14,373 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,373 ปริมาณ
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
42%
27°C
30%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 30%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
$14,373 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,373 ปริมาณ
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,565 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$1,230 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$4,189 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$1,946 ปริมาณ
42%
27°C
$2,188 ปริมาณ
30%
28°C
$771 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$569 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$710 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$301 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,373วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,373วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London’s daytime maximum on August 16 will likely peak near 26–28 °C after the intense heat dome that delivered a provisional 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens earlier in the week. Northerly flow and weakening high pressure are advecting cooler maritime air, moderating temperatures while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise suppress afternoon readings. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with the highest probability centered on 26 °C. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any frontal passage and local urban heat-island effects measured at official stations. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s next briefing are the next key catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย