Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for August 15 under a persistent southwesterly airstream, with light rain or showers likely moderating peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters on 31–32°C because model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in this regime, while recent heatwave conditions (urban peaks above 34°C earlier in August) have eased slightly. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any convective showers, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the evening HKO briefing on the 14th remain the next high-impact data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
31°C 38%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 17%
ใหม่
$22,945 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,945 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
17%
31°C
38%
32°C
29%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 17%
ใหม่
$22,945 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,945 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$1,118 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$3,115 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,925 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$2,712 ปริมาณ
17%
31°C
$2,642 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$1,843 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$2,503 ปริมาณ
17%
34°C
$3,724 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$1,076 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$618 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$669 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for August 15 under a persistent southwesterly airstream, with light rain or showers likely moderating peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters on 31–32°C because model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in this regime, while recent heatwave conditions (urban peaks above 34°C earlier in August) have eased slightly. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any convective showers, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the evening HKO briefing on the 14th remain the next high-impact data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,945วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for August 15 under a persistent southwesterly airstream, with light rain or showers likely moderating peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters on 31–32°C because model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in this regime, while recent heatwave conditions (urban peaks above 34°C earlier in August) have eased slightly. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any convective showers, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the evening HKO briefing on the 14th remain the next high-impact data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,945วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for August 15 under a persistent southwesterly airstream, with light rain or showers likely moderating peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters on 31–32°C because model guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in this regime, while recent heatwave conditions (urban peaks above 34°C earlier in August) have eased slightly. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any convective showers, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the evening HKO briefing on the 14th remain the next high-impact data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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