Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a Taipei high near 35°C on August 16, supported by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70 percent. Afternoon thundershowers, driven by diurnal convection and weak steering winds, introduce key uncertainty by increasing cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Model consensus places outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, where small shifts in shower timing or urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched market probabilities. Historical August averages hover around 32–34°C, underscoring how current conditions tilt trader sentiment toward the upper end of the normal range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
35°C 36%
34°C 29%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
36%
36°C
19%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 36%
34°C 29%
36°C 19%
33°C 14%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
29%
35°C
36%
36°C
19%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a Taipei high near 35°C on August 16, supported by subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70 percent. Afternoon thundershowers, driven by diurnal convection and weak steering winds, introduce key uncertainty by increasing cloud cover that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Model consensus places outcomes in the narrow 34–36°C window, where small shifts in shower timing or urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched market probabilities. Historical August averages hover around 32–34°C, underscoring how current conditions tilt trader sentiment toward the upper end of the normal range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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