Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and support overnight radiative cooling, positioning minimum temperatures near the 26–27°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These values align closely with August climatological baselines, where average lows typically fall between 25.7°C and 26.8°C amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. Persistent heat earlier in the month has kept traders assigning only modest probability to readings at or below 25°C, while model consensus shows limited potential for stronger cooling without an approaching tropical system. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and wind patterns remains the key variable that could shift the lowest temperature outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
27°C 44%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
26%
27°C
44%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$456 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$457 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$513 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$637 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$1,350 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$2,059 ปริมาณ
44%
28°C
$978 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$914 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$1,365 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$473 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$781 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and support overnight radiative cooling, positioning minimum temperatures near the 26–27°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These values align closely with August climatological baselines, where average lows typically fall between 25.7°C and 26.8°C amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. Persistent heat earlier in the month has kept traders assigning only modest probability to readings at or below 25°C, while model consensus shows limited potential for stronger cooling without an approaching tropical system. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and wind patterns remains the key variable that could shift the lowest temperature outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,982วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and support overnight radiative cooling, positioning minimum temperatures near the 26–27°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These values align closely with August climatological baselines, where average lows typically fall between 25.7°C and 26.8°C amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. Persistent heat earlier in the month has kept traders assigning only modest probability to readings at or below 25°C, while model consensus shows limited potential for stronger cooling without an approaching tropical system. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and wind patterns remains the key variable that could shift the lowest temperature outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,982วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14, which are expected to limit daytime heating and support overnight radiative cooling, positioning minimum temperatures near the 26–27°C range that dominates market-implied odds. These values align closely with August climatological baselines, where average lows typically fall between 25.7°C and 26.8°C amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. Persistent heat earlier in the month has kept traders assigning only modest probability to readings at or below 25°C, while model consensus shows limited potential for stronger cooling without an approaching tropical system. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and wind patterns remains the key variable that could shift the lowest temperature outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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