Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 46%
32°C 29%
35°C 12%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
29%
33°C
46%
34°C
8%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 46%
32°C 29%
35°C 12%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$257 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$20 ปริมาณ
13%
32°C
$53 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$125 ปริมาณ
46%
34°C
$48 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$25 ปริมาณ
12%
36°C
$122 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$674วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$674วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent extreme heat in Hong Kong, including a record 36.9°C on August 9, combined with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October, underpins trader focus on 33–34°C outcomes for August 13. Short-range model guidance and extended forecasts currently cluster daily highs in the 33–36°C range, with some guidance showing 34–36°C before increased moisture and showers expected from August 14 begin to moderate afternoon peaks. The market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects this transitional window, where persistent warmth from regional atmospheric patterns meets the first signs of a wetter regime that historically caps daily maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C. Updated Hong Kong Observatory briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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