Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models point to overnight minimum temperatures of 27–30°C on August 11 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity near 80%, and limited cloud cover or showers that moderate radiative cooling. These align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (47%) and 30°C (27.5%), reflecting trader consensus on normal-to-above-normal August temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August lows average 26–28°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated baselines without strong northerly flow or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Updated guidance on wind patterns and any late showers will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 13%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
13%
29°C
47%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 28%
28°C 13%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$34 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$31 ปริมาณ
13%
29°C
$15 ปริมาณ
47%
30°C
$89 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$49 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models point to overnight minimum temperatures of 27–30°C on August 11 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity near 80%, and limited cloud cover or showers that moderate radiative cooling. These align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (47%) and 30°C (27.5%), reflecting trader consensus on normal-to-above-normal August temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August lows average 26–28°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated baselines without strong northerly flow or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Updated guidance on wind patterns and any late showers will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$363วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models point to overnight minimum temperatures of 27–30°C on August 11 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity near 80%, and limited cloud cover or showers that moderate radiative cooling. These align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (47%) and 30°C (27.5%), reflecting trader consensus on normal-to-above-normal August temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August lows average 26–28°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated baselines without strong northerly flow or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Updated guidance on wind patterns and any late showers will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$363วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models point to overnight minimum temperatures of 27–30°C on August 11 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with light winds, high humidity near 80%, and limited cloud cover or showers that moderate radiative cooling. These align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (47%) and 30°C (27.5%), reflecting trader consensus on normal-to-above-normal August temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions. Historical August lows average 26–28°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated baselines without strong northerly flow or typhoon influences that could drop readings further. Updated guidance on wind patterns and any late showers will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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