Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 11?
Lowest temperature in London on August 11?
16°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,068 ปริมาณ
$12,068 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,068 ปริมาณ
$12,068 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
$672 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$300 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$440 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,099 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,766 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$3,139 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$698 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$689 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$302 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$679 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$284 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,068วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,068วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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