**The latest Met Office forecast for London shows a daytime maximum of 26°C and overnight minimum of 17°C on August 11, 2026, directly anchoring trader consensus around that level.** This reflects a slight cooldown from the 32°C peak on August 9, driven by a shift in the synoptic pattern with lighter winds and variable cloud that limits daytime heating while still moderating nocturnal radiative cooling. The tight spread between 17°C (42.5%) and 16°C (37%) stems from small uncertainties in cloud cover timing, urban heat-island retention in central London, and exact placement of the temperature minimum near dawn. Clearer skies overnight would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower outcome, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual warmth from the prior hot spell supports 17–18°C. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and observational trends over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles at or just below the leading forecast value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 11?
Lowest temperature in London on August 11?
17°C 43%
16°C 37%
18°C 18%
15°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
37%
17°C
43%
18°C
18%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 37%
18°C 18%
15°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
$36 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$56 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C
$872 ปริมาณ
37%
17°C
$198 ปริมาณ
43%
18°C
$80 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$71 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The latest Met Office forecast for London shows a daytime maximum of 26°C and overnight minimum of 17°C on August 11, 2026, directly anchoring trader consensus around that level.**
This reflects a slight cooldown from the 32°C peak on August 9, driven by a shift in the synoptic pattern with lighter winds and variable cloud that limits daytime heating while still moderating nocturnal radiative cooling. The tight spread between 17°C (42.5%) and 16°C (37%) stems from small uncertainties in cloud cover timing, urban heat-island retention in central London, and exact placement of the temperature minimum near dawn. Clearer skies overnight would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower outcome, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual warmth from the prior hot spell supports 17–18°C. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and observational trends over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles at or just below the leading forecast value.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,501วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The latest Met Office forecast for London shows a daytime maximum of 26°C and overnight minimum of 17°C on August 11, 2026, directly anchoring trader consensus around that level.**
This reflects a slight cooldown from the 32°C peak on August 9, driven by a shift in the synoptic pattern with lighter winds and variable cloud that limits daytime heating while still moderating nocturnal radiative cooling. The tight spread between 17°C (42.5%) and 16°C (37%) stems from small uncertainties in cloud cover timing, urban heat-island retention in central London, and exact placement of the temperature minimum near dawn. Clearer skies overnight would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower outcome, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual warmth from the prior hot spell supports 17–18°C. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and observational trends over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles at or just below the leading forecast value.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,501วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The latest Met Office forecast for London shows a daytime maximum of 26°C and overnight minimum of 17°C on August 11, 2026, directly anchoring trader consensus around that level.** This reflects a slight cooldown from the 32°C peak on August 9, driven by a shift in the synoptic pattern with lighter winds and variable cloud that limits daytime heating while still moderating nocturnal radiative cooling. The tight spread between 17°C (42.5%) and 16°C (37%) stems from small uncertainties in cloud cover timing, urban heat-island retention in central London, and exact placement of the temperature minimum near dawn. Clearer skies overnight would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower outcome, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual warmth from the prior hot spell supports 17–18°C. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and observational trends over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles at or just below the leading forecast value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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