Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local models indicate Beijing will see a shift to overcast or rainy conditions on September 24, with a high near 26°C as a cold front or northeasterly flow replaces warmer southerly winds. Cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, pulling maxima below the 29–31°C readings expected for September 22–23. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C, though timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness could still swing the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects these moderating influences while assigning lower probability to warmer outliers if clearing occurs earlier than modeled.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
27°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 28%
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
27°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
$69 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
16%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local models indicate Beijing will see a shift to overcast or rainy conditions on September 24, with a high near 26°C as a cold front or northeasterly flow replaces warmer southerly winds. Cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, pulling maxima below the 29–31°C readings expected for September 22–23. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C, though timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness could still swing the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects these moderating influences while assigning lower probability to warmer outliers if clearing occurs earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local models indicate Beijing will see a shift to overcast or rainy conditions on September 24, with a high near 26°C as a cold front or northeasterly flow replaces warmer southerly winds. Cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, pulling maxima below the 29–31°C readings expected for September 22–23. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C, though timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness could still swing the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects these moderating influences while assigning lower probability to warmer outliers if clearing occurs earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local models indicate Beijing will see a shift to overcast or rainy conditions on September 24, with a high near 26°C as a cold front or northeasterly flow replaces warmer southerly winds. Cloud cover and scattered showers will limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, pulling maxima below the 29–31°C readings expected for September 22–23. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 25–27°C, though timing of precipitation and exact cloud thickness could still swing the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects these moderating influences while assigning lower probability to warmer outliers if clearing occurs earlier than modeled.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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