Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 24 most likely between 13–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and possible drizzle or showers. This autumnal pattern stems from Atlantic air masses limiting daytime heating while maintaining mild overnight lows near 9–11°C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 11–17°C options because small differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or model bias can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 16–18°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of that range absent stronger insolation. Updated model runs and official observations through September 23 will refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 24?
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
18°C 27%
13°C 24%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
27%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
18°C 27%
13°C 24%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
27%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and European ensembles indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on September 24 most likely between 13–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and possible drizzle or showers. This autumnal pattern stems from Atlantic air masses limiting daytime heating while maintaining mild overnight lows near 9–11°C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across 11–17°C options because small differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or model bias can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 16–18°C provide context, yet current conditions favor the lower end of that range absent stronger insolation. Updated model runs and official observations through September 23 will refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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