Recent ensemble forecasts from major models converge on a daily maximum near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.0°C while following several days of 19–21°C readings earlier in the month. Key variables differentiating outcomes in the 15–20°C range include afternoon cloud cover timing and minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, which could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical two days ahead, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent model spreads.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
15°C 37%
18°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
37%
16°C
19%
17°C
24%
18°C
28%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
6%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
15°C 37%
18°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models converge on a daily maximum near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.0°C while following several days of 19–21°C readings earlier in the month. Key variables differentiating outcomes in the 15–20°C range include afternoon cloud cover timing and minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, which could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical two days ahead, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent model spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models converge on a daily maximum near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.0°C while following several days of 19–21°C readings earlier in the month. Key variables differentiating outcomes in the 15–20°C range include afternoon cloud cover timing and minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, which could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical two days ahead, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent model spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models converge on a daily maximum near 18°C for Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air under partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 18.0°C while following several days of 19–21°C readings earlier in the month. Key variables differentiating outcomes in the 15–20°C range include afternoon cloud cover timing and minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, which could alter the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central values reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical two days ahead, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent model spreads.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย