**Persistent rainfall and cloud cover from an active shear line and low-level jet are the main drivers moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing ahead of September 22.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate small to moderate rain, with daily highs clustered between 24–28 °C amid high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly winds. These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C). Model consensus points to limited diurnal range due to ongoing precipitation, keeping the most probable maximum in the mid-20s; however, small shifts in rain timing or intensity could produce modest deviations of 2–3 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for both warmer (≥27 °C) and cooler (≤17 °C) extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the precise official station reading used for resolution. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 22?
17°C or below 49%
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
27°C or higher 35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
17°C or below
49%
18°C
10%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
14%
22°C
20%
23°C
16%
24°C
19%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
35%
17°C or below 49%
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
27°C or higher 35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
17°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
23°C
$6 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rainfall and cloud cover from an active shear line and low-level jet are the main drivers moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing ahead of September 22.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate small to moderate rain, with daily highs clustered between 24–28 °C amid high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly winds. These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C). Model consensus points to limited diurnal range due to ongoing precipitation, keeping the most probable maximum in the mid-20s; however, small shifts in rain timing or intensity could produce modest deviations of 2–3 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for both warmer (≥27 °C) and cooler (≤17 °C) extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the precise official station reading used for resolution. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rainfall and cloud cover from an active shear line and low-level jet are the main drivers moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing ahead of September 22.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate small to moderate rain, with daily highs clustered between 24–28 °C amid high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly winds. These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C). Model consensus points to limited diurnal range due to ongoing precipitation, keeping the most probable maximum in the mid-20s; however, small shifts in rain timing or intensity could produce modest deviations of 2–3 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for both warmer (≥27 °C) and cooler (≤17 °C) extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the precise official station reading used for resolution. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rainfall and cloud cover from an active shear line and low-level jet are the main drivers moderating maximum temperatures in Chongqing ahead of September 22.** Official forecasts from multiple sources indicate small to moderate rain, with daily highs clustered between 24–28 °C amid high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly winds. These conditions suppress daytime heating compared with clearer September climatology (typical highs near 26–28 °C). Model consensus points to limited diurnal range due to ongoing precipitation, keeping the most probable maximum in the mid-20s; however, small shifts in rain timing or intensity could produce modest deviations of 2–3 °C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for both warmer (≥27 °C) and cooler (≤17 °C) extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and the precise official station reading used for resolution. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for any repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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