**Persistent high pressure and subsidence under an anticyclone are sustaining clear, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with easterly to northeasterly winds limiting cloud cover and moisture.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 19 projects a maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies and low rain probability, consistent with recent observations of 32°C on the 18th and climatological norms near 30–31°C for mid-September. Model agreement on continued warming without significant steering changes or tropical influences supports trader emphasis on the 31–33°C range, where market-implied odds cluster (32°C at 48%, 31°C at 34.5%, 33°C at 13.5%). Resolution will hinge on the Observatory’s official daily maximum reading, with limited upside risk from any late-day convection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
32°C 49%
31°C 35%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
$10,088 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
35%
32°C
49%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 35%
33°C 14%
30°C 5%
ใหม่
$10,088 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$309 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$720 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,505 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$962 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$806 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$1,608 ปริมาณ
49%
33°C
$2,545 ปริมาณ
14%
34°C
$1,219 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$126 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent high pressure and subsidence under an anticyclone are sustaining clear, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with easterly to northeasterly winds limiting cloud cover and moisture.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 19 projects a maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies and low rain probability, consistent with recent observations of 32°C on the 18th and climatological norms near 30–31°C for mid-September. Model agreement on continued warming without significant steering changes or tropical influences supports trader emphasis on the 31–33°C range, where market-implied odds cluster (32°C at 48%, 31°C at 34.5%, 33°C at 13.5%). Resolution will hinge on the Observatory’s official daily maximum reading, with limited upside risk from any late-day convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent high pressure and subsidence under an anticyclone are sustaining clear, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with easterly to northeasterly winds limiting cloud cover and moisture.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 19 projects a maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies and low rain probability, consistent with recent observations of 32°C on the 18th and climatological norms near 30–31°C for mid-September. Model agreement on continued warming without significant steering changes or tropical influences supports trader emphasis on the 31–33°C range, where market-implied odds cluster (32°C at 48%, 31°C at 34.5%, 33°C at 13.5%). Resolution will hinge on the Observatory’s official daily maximum reading, with limited upside risk from any late-day convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high pressure and subsidence under an anticyclone are sustaining clear, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with easterly to northeasterly winds limiting cloud cover and moisture.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for September 19 projects a maximum of 32–33°C under sunny skies and low rain probability, consistent with recent observations of 32°C on the 18th and climatological norms near 30–31°C for mid-September. Model agreement on continued warming without significant steering changes or tropical influences supports trader emphasis on the 31–33°C range, where market-implied odds cluster (32°C at 48%, 31°C at 34.5%, 33°C at 13.5%). Resolution will hinge on the Observatory’s official daily maximum reading, with limited upside risk from any late-day convection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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