Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under mild southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, limited precipitation, and daytime highs building to around 20°C by afternoon. This aligns with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as current guidance shows low likelihood of significant deviation. The preceding unsettled period has given way to stabilizing high pressure that caps temperatures below the warmer spell expected from September 20 onward, while historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the tight clustering around 19–21°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 18?
Highest temperature in London on September 18?
20°C 54%
21°C 27%
19°C 16%
18°C 3%
ใหม่
$12,307 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,307 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
54%
21°C
27%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 54%
21°C 27%
19°C 16%
18°C 3%
ใหม่
$12,307 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,307 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$969 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$2,412 ปริมาณ
16%
20°C
$3,600 ปริมาณ
54%
21°C
$2,334 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$1,021 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$657 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$253 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$562 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under mild southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, limited precipitation, and daytime highs building to around 20°C by afternoon. This aligns with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as current guidance shows low likelihood of significant deviation. The preceding unsettled period has given way to stabilizing high pressure that caps temperatures below the warmer spell expected from September 20 onward, while historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the tight clustering around 19–21°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,307วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under mild southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, limited precipitation, and daytime highs building to around 20°C by afternoon. This aligns with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as current guidance shows low likelihood of significant deviation. The preceding unsettled period has given way to stabilizing high pressure that caps temperatures below the warmer spell expected from September 20 onward, while historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the tight clustering around 19–21°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,307วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 20–21°C in London on September 18 under mild southwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies, limited precipitation, and daytime highs building to around 20°C by afternoon. This aligns with the market's leading 20°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability, as current guidance shows low likelihood of significant deviation. The preceding unsettled period has given way to stabilizing high pressure that caps temperatures below the warmer spell expected from September 20 onward, while historical September averages near 19°C provide context for the tight clustering around 19–21°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of the 17th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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