Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate fine, dry conditions on September 17 under a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence, with a predicted maximum of 31°C and low precipitation risk. Recent observations on September 16 reached 31–32°C across stations amid similar clear skies, supporting trader emphasis on 31°C (45% implied probability) while allowing room for 32°C (30%) if daytime heating peaks higher than modeled. Low humidity (55–85%) and moderate easterly winds should limit extreme outliers, consistent with late-summer patterns where highs cluster near 30–32°C absent tropical moisture or cloud cover. The market reflects modest uncertainty ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
31°C 46%
32°C 29%
30°C 15%
29°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
29%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 29%
30°C 15%
29°C 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
29%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate fine, dry conditions on September 17 under a strengthening northeast monsoon and high-pressure influence, with a predicted maximum of 31°C and low precipitation risk. Recent observations on September 16 reached 31–32°C across stations amid similar clear skies, supporting trader emphasis on 31°C (45% implied probability) while allowing room for 32°C (30%) if daytime heating peaks higher than modeled. Low humidity (55–85%) and moderate easterly winds should limit extreme outliers, consistent with late-summer patterns where highs cluster near 30–32°C absent tropical moisture or cloud cover. The market reflects modest uncertainty ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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