Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
32°C 26%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
26%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 26%
32°C 26%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$234 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$25 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$22 ปริมาณ
36%
32°C
$297 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$20 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$613วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$613วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high around 30–32°C for Hong Kong on September 16, driven by easterly winds of 15–25 km/h under partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating while limiting excessive buildup. Subtropical ridge influence and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75% support this range, consistent with seasonal El Niño-related above-normal temperature signals from the Hong Kong Observatory. Close market splits between 30–32°C outcomes reflect remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with minimal tropical cyclone risk nearby; updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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