**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected minimum temperature for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s 89% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high-altitude anticyclonic influence is bringing drier, clearer conditions after early partial cloud and isolated showers, with overnight readings stabilizing near 26–27°C under moderate east to northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Typical September climatology for the region supports minimums in this narrow range, and model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn. Recent observational data from the prior evening and early morning confirm temperatures hovering around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that 27°C will be the lowest reading recorded by official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
27°C 92%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$12,681 ปริมาณ
$12,681 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
92%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 92%
26°C 7%
25°C 2%
23°C 1.6%
$12,681 ปริมาณ
$12,681 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
92%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the expected minimum temperature for September 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s 89% implied probability for that outcome.** A northeast monsoon combined with high-altitude anticyclonic influence is bringing drier, clearer conditions after early partial cloud and isolated showers, with overnight readings stabilizing near 26–27°C under moderate east to northeast winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Typical September climatology for the region supports minimums in this narrow range, and model consensus shows little deviation expected before dawn. Recent observational data from the prior evening and early morning confirm temperatures hovering around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus that 27°C will be the lowest reading recorded by official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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