**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle typical of the peak rainy season.** High elevation (approximately 2,240 m) moderates daytime maxima, while afternoon convection and moisture limit strong warming. Recent observations show highs of 23–25°C over the prior days with similar synoptic patterns, keeping values near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Traders have priced 24°C as the modal outcome (46%) with meaningful probability on 25°C or higher (25.5%), reflecting residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity before resolution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tonight will provide the final inputs ahead of the market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 17?
24°C 47%
25°C or higher 25%
23°C 23%
22°C 5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C or higher
25%
24°C 47%
25°C or higher 25%
23°C 23%
22°C 5%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily high of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered light rain or drizzle typical of the peak rainy season.** High elevation (approximately 2,240 m) moderates daytime maxima, while afternoon convection and moisture limit strong warming. Recent observations show highs of 23–25°C over the prior days with similar synoptic patterns, keeping values near the September climatological average of roughly 24°C. Traders have priced 24°C as the modal outcome (46%) with meaningful probability on 25°C or higher (25.5%), reflecting residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or shower intensity before resolution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance tonight will provide the final inputs ahead of the market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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