Recent surveillance data show the 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius remained limited to roughly a dozen cases with three deaths, all contained through contact tracing and quarantine by South American, U.S., European, and WHO authorities. No sustained human-to-human transmission occurred outside the initial ship exposure, consistent with the virus’s requirement for prolonged close contact and an estimated R0 near 1.2. Endemic rodent-borne circulation in Argentina and Chile continues at typical seasonal levels without evidence of increased virulence or airborne spread. With only weeks remaining in 2026 and active monitoring confirming low community risk, traders assign a 96.5 percent probability against a pandemic. A realistic shift would require an undetected mutation enabling efficient aerosol transmission or multiple large, simultaneous spillovers before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4% โอกาส
$17,901,467 ปริมาณ
$17,901,467 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
4% โอกาส
$17,901,467 ปริมาณ
$17,901,467 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent surveillance data show the 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius remained limited to roughly a dozen cases with three deaths, all contained through contact tracing and quarantine by South American, U.S., European, and WHO authorities. No sustained human-to-human transmission occurred outside the initial ship exposure, consistent with the virus’s requirement for prolonged close contact and an estimated R0 near 1.2. Endemic rodent-borne circulation in Argentina and Chile continues at typical seasonal levels without evidence of increased virulence or airborne spread. With only weeks remaining in 2026 and active monitoring confirming low community risk, traders assign a 96.5 percent probability against a pandemic. A realistic shift would require an undetected mutation enabling efficient aerosol transmission or multiple large, simultaneous spillovers before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,901,467วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent surveillance data show the 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius remained limited to roughly a dozen cases with three deaths, all contained through contact tracing and quarantine by South American, U.S., European, and WHO authorities. No sustained human-to-human transmission occurred outside the initial ship exposure, consistent with the virus’s requirement for prolonged close contact and an estimated R0 near 1.2. Endemic rodent-borne circulation in Argentina and Chile continues at typical seasonal levels without evidence of increased virulence or airborne spread. With only weeks remaining in 2026 and active monitoring confirming low community risk, traders assign a 96.5 percent probability against a pandemic. A realistic shift would require an undetected mutation enabling efficient aerosol transmission or multiple large, simultaneous spillovers before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,901,467วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent surveillance data show the 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius remained limited to roughly a dozen cases with three deaths, all contained through contact tracing and quarantine by South American, U.S., European, and WHO authorities. No sustained human-to-human transmission occurred outside the initial ship exposure, consistent with the virus’s requirement for prolonged close contact and an estimated R0 near 1.2. Endemic rodent-borne circulation in Argentina and Chile continues at typical seasonal levels without evidence of increased virulence or airborne spread. With only weeks remaining in 2026 and active monitoring confirming low community risk, traders assign a 96.5 percent probability against a pandemic. A realistic shift would require an undetected mutation enabling efficient aerosol transmission or multiple large, simultaneous spillovers before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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