Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a high of 74–78°F in New York City on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable departure from the late-August climatological average near 83°F, following recent cooler, unsettled conditions that have suppressed temperatures. Precipitation chances of 50–70% further reduce peak readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and blocking solar radiation. These factors concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 74–79°F bins, with traders weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that show limited warming potential ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 22?
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
67°F or below
$2,216 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$1,711 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$62 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$306 ปริมาณ
5%
74-75°F
$291 ปริมาณ
19%
76-77°F
$74 ปริมาณ
45%
78-79°F
$161 ปริมาณ
24%
80-81°F
$167 ปริมาณ
6%
82-83°F
$47 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$256 ปริมาณ
1%
86°F or higher
$377 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a high of 74–78°F in New York City on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable departure from the late-August climatological average near 83°F, following recent cooler, unsettled conditions that have suppressed temperatures. Precipitation chances of 50–70% further reduce peak readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and blocking solar radiation. These factors concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 74–79°F bins, with traders weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that show limited warming potential ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,669วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a high of 74–78°F in New York City on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable departure from the late-August climatological average near 83°F, following recent cooler, unsettled conditions that have suppressed temperatures. Precipitation chances of 50–70% further reduce peak readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and blocking solar radiation. These factors concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 74–79°F bins, with traders weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that show limited warming potential ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,669วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a high of 74–78°F in New York City on August 22, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This represents a notable departure from the late-August climatological average near 83°F, following recent cooler, unsettled conditions that have suppressed temperatures. Precipitation chances of 50–70% further reduce peak readings by enhancing evaporative cooling and blocking solar radiation. These factors concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 74–79°F bins, with traders weighting the latest model runs and official guidance that show limited warming potential ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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