Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of 25.7°C through early morning on August 21, aligning closely with late-summer climatology of 25–27°C lows driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Numerical weather models from the Observatory and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflecting the narrow observed range and stable atmospheric conditions. A shift to clearer skies or stronger winds could enable further cooling below this threshold before midnight, though such changes appear unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
25°C 99.5%
24°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$45,281 ปริมาณ
$45,281 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
24°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$45,281 ปริมาณ
$45,281 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$1,406 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,615 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,453 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$9,356 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$6,040 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$5,900 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,615 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,853 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,337 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,536 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of 25.7°C through early morning on August 21, aligning closely with late-summer climatology of 25–27°C lows driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Numerical weather models from the Observatory and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflecting the narrow observed range and stable atmospheric conditions. A shift to clearer skies or stronger winds could enable further cooling below this threshold before midnight, though such changes appear unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,281วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of 25.7°C through early morning on August 21, aligning closely with late-summer climatology of 25–27°C lows driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Numerical weather models from the Observatory and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflecting the narrow observed range and stable atmospheric conditions. A shift to clearer skies or stronger winds could enable further cooling below this threshold before midnight, though such changes appear unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,281วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded an overnight minimum of 25.7°C through early morning on August 21, aligning closely with late-summer climatology of 25–27°C lows driven by high humidity, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Numerical weather models from the Observatory and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflecting the narrow observed range and stable atmospheric conditions. A shift to clearer skies or stronger winds could enable further cooling below this threshold before midnight, though such changes appear unlikely given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย