Trader sentiment for the August 23 minimum temperature in Hong Kong centers on forecast model consensus for overnight lows near 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light winds reduce mixing. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models highlight normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with climatological August minima around 26°C. Differentiation among 25–28°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud-cover evolution, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized urban heat-island modulation, with new model runs and observatory updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
28°C 47%
26°C 37%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 47%
26°C 37%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 23 minimum temperature in Hong Kong centers on forecast model consensus for overnight lows near 26–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and scattered thundery showers. These limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies while light winds reduce mixing. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and global models highlight normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with climatological August minima around 26°C. Differentiation among 25–28°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud-cover evolution, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized urban heat-island modulation, with new model runs and observatory updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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