Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 22, consistent with the market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome. Typical August nocturnal conditions under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity support overnight lows in the 26–28°C range, with the current 9-day outlook projecting 27–32°C daytime highs amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from cloud cover or rainfall, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 20.5%. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 40%
26°C 21%
28°C 20%
25°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 21%
28°C 20%
25°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$160 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$232 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$190 ปริมาณ
21%
27°C
$192 ปริมาณ
40%
28°C
$415 ปริมาณ
20%
29°C
$958 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$358 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$501 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$516 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 22, consistent with the market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome. Typical August nocturnal conditions under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity support overnight lows in the 26–28°C range, with the current 9-day outlook projecting 27–32°C daytime highs amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from cloud cover or rainfall, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 20.5%. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,295วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 22, consistent with the market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome. Typical August nocturnal conditions under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity support overnight lows in the 26–28°C range, with the current 9-day outlook projecting 27–32°C daytime highs amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from cloud cover or rainfall, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 20.5%. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,295วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 22, consistent with the market-implied probability of 41.5% for that outcome. Typical August nocturnal conditions under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity support overnight lows in the 26–28°C range, with the current 9-day outlook projecting 27–32°C daytime highs amid scattered showers and thunderstorms. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from cloud cover or rainfall, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 20.5%. Historical climatology places average August minima around 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย