Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 20 peak reflects ensemble model runs and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing easterly to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise. High humidity and potential convective activity further moderate maxima, consistent with typical late-summer monsoon conditions and a seasonal forecast calling for normal to above-normal temperatures overall. Model spread on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness creates the narrow 31–32°C split, with lighter winds or delayed convection potentially allowing brief 33°C readings. Updated short-range forecasts and morning observations on August 19–20 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
32°C 33%
31°C 32%
33°C 16%
30°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
32%
32°C
33%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 32%
33°C 16%
30°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$400 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$143 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$37 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$131 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$98 ปริมาณ
33%
33°C
$74 ปริมาณ
16%
34°C
$45 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$29 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 20 peak reflects ensemble model runs and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing easterly to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise. High humidity and potential convective activity further moderate maxima, consistent with typical late-summer monsoon conditions and a seasonal forecast calling for normal to above-normal temperatures overall. Model spread on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness creates the narrow 31–32°C split, with lighter winds or delayed convection potentially allowing brief 33°C readings. Updated short-range forecasts and morning observations on August 19–20 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,140วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 20 peak reflects ensemble model runs and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing easterly to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise. High humidity and potential convective activity further moderate maxima, consistent with typical late-summer monsoon conditions and a seasonal forecast calling for normal to above-normal temperatures overall. Model spread on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness creates the narrow 31–32°C split, with lighter winds or delayed convection potentially allowing brief 33°C readings. Updated short-range forecasts and morning observations on August 19–20 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,140วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 31–32°C for Hong Kong’s August 20 peak reflects ensemble model runs and Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing easterly to northeasterly winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise. High humidity and potential convective activity further moderate maxima, consistent with typical late-summer monsoon conditions and a seasonal forecast calling for normal to above-normal temperatures overall. Model spread on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness creates the narrow 31–32°C split, with lighter winds or delayed convection potentially allowing brief 33°C readings. Updated short-range forecasts and morning observations on August 19–20 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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