Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering, with 20°C and 21°C each implied at 33.5% probability amid genuine model uncertainty. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide context. Any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs or evolving steering patterns ahead of the 48-hour window could refine these thresholds and tip trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
20°C 34%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
23%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 34%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$133 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$216 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$15 ปริมาณ
13%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
22°C
$26 ปริมาณ
23%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
11%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering, with 20°C and 21°C each implied at 33.5% probability amid genuine model uncertainty. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide context. Any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs or evolving steering patterns ahead of the 48-hour window could refine these thresholds and tip trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$440วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering, with 20°C and 21°C each implied at 33.5% probability amid genuine model uncertainty. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide context. Any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs or evolving steering patterns ahead of the 48-hour window could refine these thresholds and tip trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$440วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering, with 20°C and 21°C each implied at 33.5% probability amid genuine model uncertainty. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide context. Any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs or evolving steering patterns ahead of the 48-hour window could refine these thresholds and tip trader sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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