Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers over Chengdu on August 18, which appear to be moderating daytime highs toward the market's favored 23–25°C range. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, combined with evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation in the humid Sichuan basin, limits peak temperatures below typical late-summer averages near 29°C. Short-range guidance shows minor model spread on shower timing and intensity, introducing uncertainty around whether the maximum will reach 26°C or hold near 24°C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for refinements before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
25°C 26%
22°C 22%
24°C 22%
26°C 16%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
22%
23°C
15%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
16%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 26%
22°C 22%
24°C 22%
26°C 16%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
22%
23°C
15%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
16%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather highlight increased cloud cover and thundershowers over Chengdu on August 18, which appear to be moderating daytime highs toward the market's favored 23–25°C range. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, combined with evaporative cooling from scattered precipitation in the humid Sichuan basin, limits peak temperatures below typical late-summer averages near 29°C. Short-range guidance shows minor model spread on shower timing and intensity, introducing uncertainty around whether the maximum will reach 26°C or hold near 24°C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF updates for refinements before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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