Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 16?
32°C 33%
31°C 24%
33°C 18%
30°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
24%
32°C
33%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 24%
33°C 18%
30°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
$58 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$57 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$25 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$65 ปริมาณ
33%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
34°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
36°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$245วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$245วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Munich on August 16 near 31–32 °C because the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble runs converge on afternoon maxima in that narrow band under persistent high pressure. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge steering warm continental air northward, limited low-level moisture that curbs cloud cover and allows stronger insolation, and Munich’s position on the northern Alpine foreland where downslope warming can add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, but small shifts in timing of any weak frontal passage or urban heat-island amplification could tip the daily peak between the two leading buckets. Updated 12z and 00z runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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