Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com currently project a Moscow high of 24–26°C on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms and light westerly winds. This narrow range reflects modest uncertainty in daytime solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with 25°C and 26°C emerging as the leading market outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted cloud timing and regional pressure gradients. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but the current setup shows no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals that would shift consensus beyond this band. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
25°C 31%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
28%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 31%
26°C 28%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
31%
26°C
28%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com currently project a Moscow high of 24–26°C on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms and light westerly winds. This narrow range reflects modest uncertainty in daytime solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with 25°C and 26°C emerging as the leading market outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted cloud timing and regional pressure gradients. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but the current setup shows no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals that would shift consensus beyond this band. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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