Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs place Chengdu's August 14 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flow that favor gradual warming across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity near 70 percent and limited daytime mixing amplify perceived heat while scattered afternoon convection or thin cloud decks could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, explaining why 36 °C leads at 25.5 percent implied probability ahead of 37 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add another 0.5–1 °C relative to rural stations, yet any earlier or stronger monsoon surge could increase cloud cover and lower the outcome toward 35 °C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 14?
36°C 26%
37°C 23%
35°C 16%
38°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
13%
35°C
16%
36°C
26%
37°C
23%
38°C
16%
39°C
9%
40°C or higher
8%
36°C 26%
37°C 23%
35°C 16%
38°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$2 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
38°C
$2 ปริมาณ
16%
39°C
$43 ปริมาณ
9%
40°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs place Chengdu's August 14 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flow that favor gradual warming across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity near 70 percent and limited daytime mixing amplify perceived heat while scattered afternoon convection or thin cloud decks could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, explaining why 36 °C leads at 25.5 percent implied probability ahead of 37 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add another 0.5–1 °C relative to rural stations, yet any earlier or stronger monsoon surge could increase cloud cover and lower the outcome toward 35 °C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs place Chengdu's August 14 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flow that favor gradual warming across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity near 70 percent and limited daytime mixing amplify perceived heat while scattered afternoon convection or thin cloud decks could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, explaining why 36 °C leads at 25.5 percent implied probability ahead of 37 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add another 0.5–1 °C relative to rural stations, yet any earlier or stronger monsoon surge could increase cloud cover and lower the outcome toward 35 °C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble model runs place Chengdu's August 14 maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and weak steering flow that favor gradual warming across the Sichuan Basin. High humidity near 70 percent and limited daytime mixing amplify perceived heat while scattered afternoon convection or thin cloud decks could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, explaining why 36 °C leads at 25.5 percent implied probability ahead of 37 °C. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add another 0.5–1 °C relative to rural stations, yet any earlier or stronger monsoon surge could increase cloud cover and lower the outcome toward 35 °C. Updated model guidance and official 48-hour forecasts remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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