Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models position 29°C as the most probable overnight minimum for August 12, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Above-normal seasonal temperatures, consistent with long-term warming trends and the latest ENSO-neutral guidance, have kept recent daily lows near 28–29°C rather than historical August averages around 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low spread for significant drops below 28°C absent unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall, though localized urban heat island effects and timing of any showers introduce modest uncertainty resolved by morning observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
29°C 59%
28°C 33%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
33%
29°C
59%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 59%
28°C 33%
27°C 9%
30°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$270 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$281 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$469 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C
$940 ปริมาณ
33%
29°C
$1,616 ปริมาณ
59%
30°C
$1,371 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$282 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$652 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$590 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$660 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models position 29°C as the most probable overnight minimum for August 12, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Above-normal seasonal temperatures, consistent with long-term warming trends and the latest ENSO-neutral guidance, have kept recent daily lows near 28–29°C rather than historical August averages around 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low spread for significant drops below 28°C absent unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall, though localized urban heat island effects and timing of any showers introduce modest uncertainty resolved by morning observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,406วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models position 29°C as the most probable overnight minimum for August 12, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Above-normal seasonal temperatures, consistent with long-term warming trends and the latest ENSO-neutral guidance, have kept recent daily lows near 28–29°C rather than historical August averages around 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low spread for significant drops below 28°C absent unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall, though localized urban heat island effects and timing of any showers introduce modest uncertainty resolved by morning observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,406วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models position 29°C as the most probable overnight minimum for August 12, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Above-normal seasonal temperatures, consistent with long-term warming trends and the latest ENSO-neutral guidance, have kept recent daily lows near 28–29°C rather than historical August averages around 26–27°C. Model consensus shows low spread for significant drops below 28°C absent unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall, though localized urban heat island effects and timing of any showers introduce modest uncertainty resolved by morning observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย