Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 point to overnight lows of 28–29°C under typical subtropical summer conditions, with a daily range of 28–32°C amid moderate humidity and limited cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C and 30°C as the most likely minimums, reflecting trader consensus on persistent warm nights driven by seasonal warmth, urban heat retention, and the absence of strong monsoon or typhoon influences. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks and recent model guidance support elevated readings. Key upcoming data include updated local forecasts and any last-minute model shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
30°C 60%
29°C 38%
31°C 3.1%
28°C 3%
$32,985 ปริมาณ
$32,985 ปริมาณ
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
38%
30°C
60%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 60%
29°C 38%
31°C 3.1%
28°C 3%
$32,985 ปริมาณ
$32,985 ปริมาณ
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
38%
30°C
60%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 point to overnight lows of 28–29°C under typical subtropical summer conditions, with a daily range of 28–32°C amid moderate humidity and limited cooling overnight. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C and 30°C as the most likely minimums, reflecting trader consensus on persistent warm nights driven by seasonal warmth, urban heat retention, and the absence of strong monsoon or typhoon influences. Historical August lows average near 26°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks and recent model guidance support elevated readings. Key upcoming data include updated local forecasts and any last-minute model shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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